Weekly Portfolio Review: 26 September 2010

BSE Sensex closed the week 2.3% higher and NSE Nifty 2.27%. The month to date gain on my portfolio is 6.78% and year to date 13.29%. Gujarat Gas, Tata Tea, Infosys, HUL and Bharti Airtel are the highest gainer in my portfolio so far in this year.  I partly booked profit on Blue Star in the past week with a 47% margin.

Good buys in my watch list

Company Sector Target Current Price Margin
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.75 710.35 54%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,454.90 45%

News Update

NTPC

–          NTPC is aiming to add capacity at 13% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in order to generate 75,000 mw by March 2017 and reduce its carbon footprint by increasing the share of renewable and nuclear power in its energy mix and improving energy efficiency of coal-fired plants. The firm has projects worth 17,340 mw under implementation and has initiated tendering for execution of another 7,092 mw capacity. Projects worth 27,000 mw are under preliminary stages, NTPC has said. – The Financial Express, 27th September 2010

–          The Sri Lankan government has offered a 25-year tax waiver and customs duty concessions to NTPC’s  500 Megawatt (Mw) power project planned at Sampur near Trincomalee in the east coast of the island nation, through a gazette notification earlier this month. The Sri Lanka government said it accorded the special incentive as it was a project under the Strategic Development Projects Act of the country. NTPC and Sri Lanka will finalise the details soon. – Business Standard, September 25, 2010

–          NTPC’s Pakri-Barwadih coal mining project, for which the Union Coal Ministry has allotted coal blocks, has got forest clearance from the union Ministry of Forest and Environment for its stage two work. “With this the stage is cleared for starting Conveyor Corridor, Railway Corridor and starting coal mining production by 2012 as per the revised target fixed by the union government,” Rao, the general manager of NTPC’s coal mining project, told newsmen here on Wednesday. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Suzlon

–          The country’s largest wind turbine manufacturer Suzlon Energy on Friday said it has crossed 5,000 MW (megawatt) of cumulative installations in India, underlining the strong momentum in the country’s fast-growing wind energy market. Suzlon has cum ulatively added over 5,000 MW of wind power capacity for over 1,500 customers in India across 40 sites in eight states. – The Business Line, September 24, 2010

–          Wind power major Suzlon Energy today said it has bagged a Rs. 1,149-crore order from Kolkata-based engineering firm Techno Electric Group. The 202 MW (megawatt)order is a part of Techno Electric Group’s agreement with Suzlon for developing 500 MW of new capacity and is the single largest deal signed by an Independent Power Producer (IPP) in the wind power sector, Suzlon said in a filing to the BSE. – Livemint.com, September 21, 2010

Bharti Airtel

–          Zain Kenya, a unit of Bharti Airtel Ltd., plans to overtake market leader Safaricom Ltd. to become the east African nation’s largest mobile phone operator within three to four years, Managing Director Rene Meza said today. Over the next 18 months, the company plans to spend 28 billion shillings ($345 million) expanding Internet coverage to rural areas and rolling out a third-generation network by year- end, Meza said in an interview in Kenya’s capital, Nairobi. – Bloomberg, September 23, 2010

–          Telecom major Bharti Airtel said on Monday that it has given contracts to Ericsson India, Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) and Huawei Technologies to set up infrastructure for providing 3G services in the country.  These vendors will plan, design, deploy and maintain 3G-HSPA (third generation, high speed packet access) networks in 13 telecom circles where the company has won 3G licences, Bharti Airtel said in a statement. – The Economic Times, September 20, 2010

–          Bharti Airtel, India’s largest mobile-phone company, forecasts “rapid growth” at its satellite television unit on rising demand in rural areas for Bollywood movies and soap operas. Bharti has signed up 3.8 million customers to gain a 14% market share, said Ajai Puri, chief executive officer of the company’s digital TV services business. Industrywide, as many as 12 million people may take up satellite television this year, Mr Puri said in an interview on September17 in New Delhi. – The Economic Times, September 21, 2010

Dr Reddy’s

–          Promoters of Dr Reddy’s Laboratories have no intention of diluting their stake in the company, its managing director K Satish Reddy said today. “Let me be clear once again. We have no such intention to sell any stake or what so ever. There is no such move (dilution of stake),” Satish Reddy replied when asked on the sidelines of pharma CEOs conclave here. He said they will continue to focus on achieving three billion dollars turnover by 2013. – Business Standard, September 24, 2010

GAIL

–          State-run gas transporter GAIL India will make capital investment of around 400 billion rupees ($8.8 billion) by 2014/15, mainly to expand its pipeline network and boost petrochemicals capacity, its chairman said on Wednesday. B.C. Tripathi also said GAIL was exploring gas sector opportunities in the African market. He was speaking at the company’s annual general meeting of shareholders. – Reuters, September 22, 2010

–          State-run GAIL India on Wednesday imported its first liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo of the year at around $8.3 per million British thermal unit, about a dollar more than what Petronet LNG paid just four-days ago. GAIL, which bought the cargo from BG Group of UK at around $8.3 per mmBtu, plans to import two more cargoes from the spot market this year. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Hero Honda

–          With arch rival Bajaj Auto gaining ground in the entry level of bike segment, the country’s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda has admitted its leadership position will come under pressure. The company, which is currently a subject of speculation over a possible exit of Japanese partner Honda from the joint venture with Munjals, has been witnessing a decline in market share in motorcycles of 75cc and above but less than 125cc category. Its market share declined to 61.62 per cent in the April -August period this fiscal, from 73.85 per cent in the same period of 2009-10. – Business Standard, September 20, 2010

Interesting Reading

Brand Hero eyes life after Honda

With Hero Group’s 25-year old marriage with Japan’s Honda Motor seen drawing to a close, all eyes are on the future of Hero’s brands assiduously built up over the years. Will popular bike brands like Splendor and Passion continue to evoke the same excitement or will the absence of the Honda brand change the fortunes of the company? http://www.indianexpress.com/news/brand-hero-eyes-life-after-honda/686793/

Mahindra & Mahindra’s U.S. Plans Are in Jeopardy

Car buyers expect a degree of haggling when shopping for a new vehicle. Yet the fate of trucks built by India’s Mahindra & Mahindra may be determined in the federal courts and by arbitrators, long before the rugged-looking 4×4s even begin rolling onto dealership lots. Mahindra and its American importer, Atlanta-based Global Vehicles U.S.A., are embroiled in a dispute that could halt plans to bring the first Indian-built vehicles into the American market. http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/21/mahindra-mahindra-u-s-plans-are-in-jeopardy/

Revving two-wheeler sales to cross 12 m this fiscal

Two-wheeler sales for this fiscal are projected to be in excess of 12 million units, a jump of 20 per cent from around 10 million units in 2009-10. Sources say Hero Honda and Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India will together account for nearly 55 per cent of this number at 6.5 million units, followed by Bajaj Auto with over 3.5 million units and TVS Motor with nearly two million units. Yamaha and Suzuki, which are marginal players in comparison, will add to the overall kitty. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/09/21/stories/2010092150080300.htm

RIL puts out annual reports of 82 of 96 subsidiaries, still not unravelled many layers

It was big, but secretive. It was clever, but complex. That was Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), India’s largest private sector company, when it came to organising its books of accounts and presenting them to the public. Even as it takes a big leap to become more transparent, all those attributes — in shades of black, white and grey — remain characteristic of RIL. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/energy/oil–gas/RIL-puts-out-annual-reports-of-82-of-96-subsidiaries-still-not-unravelled-many-layers/articleshow/6617094.cms

Crompton Greaves puts wind in Europe sales

The cold, choppy waters of the North Sea are increasingly playing host to a new creature — the slender-necked, rotor-headed, offshore windmill. Sprouting along the coasts of Germany, Norway, Denmark and more recently Belgium, offshore wind energy farms are the new temples for the 21st century environmentalism sweeping across Europe. They perform the seemingly utopian transformation of a free, non-polluting resource — the wind — into the electricity needed to feed the power-hungry contemporary world. And being offshore, they avoid entanglements in the land-use disputes common in densely populated regions, while enjoying the higher and more consistent wind speeds available over the sea. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/crompton-greaves-puts-wind-in-europe-sales/408897/

Paint companies: Glossed over

Companies in the paints sector are bracing for the increased demand due to robust economic growth and rising incomes. Berger Paints, the third-largest player, plans to increase its capacity from 250,000 tonnes to 450,000 tonnes in the next two years, while the second-largest Kansai Nerolac will enhance its capacity by 50 per cent to 300,000 tonnes over the next three years. Market leader Asian Paints plans to triple its current capacity of about 600,000 tonnes in the next few years. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/paint-companies-glossed-over/408755/

Hindustan Unilever’s Bharat Darshan

The new consumers in India’s villages are ambitious and demanding just like their urban counterparts. And Hindustan Unilever is responding to the change with a distribution overhaul. Read more: http://business.in.com/article/boardroom/hindustan-unilevers-bharat-darshan/17462/1#ixzz10fSQE554

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 1.13% 2.30% 2.27%
This month 6.78% 11.54% 11.40%
This Year 13.29% 14.77% 15.71%
Since 1-1-2009 131.97% 107.79% 103.39%
Since 1-1-2008 55.91% -0.80% -1.01%
Since 1-4-2007 93.70% 53.34% 57.48%
Since Beginning 124.31% 54.93% 60.69%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.85 Years 82
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.80 Years 134
Bharti Airtel Telecom 7 8 months 27
HUL FMCG 7 3 Months 23
Hero Honda Auto 6 4 months 1

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Dr Reddy 1,363.00
KSB Pumps 562.99
Hero Honda 1709.70
Maharashtra Seamless 378.95
Hindustan Zinc 1140.86
HUL 279.15

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 214 2.3 Years
Dabur India 164 4.4 Years
Tata Tea 134 1.8 Years
Berger Paints 172 3.5 Years
Infosys 82 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Mangalam Cement -6 1 month
KSB Pumps -6 1 month
Graphite India -5 2 months
Hindustan Zinc -4 1 month
Tata Communications -4 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


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