Portfolio Review: 30 October 2010

Many more companies published their quarterly results in the past week. Hero Honda posted biggest drop in quarterly profit in three years. Tata Communications’ consolidated loss widened to Rs 213 crore in the second quarter. Tata Global Q2 net profit slid 82%. KSB Pumps reported a 34% fall in net profit. NTPC’s net profit declined marginally in the second quarter despite a 20% increase in its net sales. Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) beat market expectations by posting a 32 per cent rise in net profit. BHEL Q2 net up 33% at Rs 1142 crore on good revenue from power sector. Glenmark Pharma net up 38% to Rs 112 cr.  Reliance Industries profit Jumped 28% as gas output and refining earnings rise. Mahindra and Mahindra reported 8% rise in quarterly profit.

In the past week, BSE Sensex lost 0.66%, NSE Nifty 0.80% and my portfolio 2.05%. In the month of October, my portfolio made a loss of 0.69% while year to date gain is 12.16%. Many companies in which I have large holding such as Bharti Airtel, Mangalam Cement, KSB Pumps, HUL etc declined 5% to 11% during the month. Dr. Reddys Laboratories, Maharashtra Seamless, Tata Global Beverages helped me to trim the overall loss with a gain of 3% to 15% during the month.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 149.20 168%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 93.20 115%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 503.00 113%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 471.30 100%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 468.10 82%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 743.00 417.20 78%
Hero Honda Auto 3,122.00 1,865.80 67%
HUL FMCG 479.00 294.10 63%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 715.00 61%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 691.85 58%

News Update

Reliance Industries Ltd., India’s biggest company by market value, posted its highest quarterly profit since 2007 after growing fuel demand boosted refining earnings and natural gas production rose. – Bloomberg

Hero Honda on Friday registered a 15% decline in net profit in September quarter, its biggest drop in quarterly profit in three years, on higher raw material costs, capacity constraints and increased competition. Net profit stood at Rs 505.60 crore against Rs 597.14 crore in the same period last fiscal. Net sales increased 11.8% to Rs 4,551.95 crore against Rs 4,069.60 crore in the same period last fiscal. Ebidta margin for the period stood at 13.36%. – The Financial Express

Mahindra & Mahindra India’s largest utility vehicles maker, reported a 7.8 percent rise in second-quarter net profit, as robust volumes in a fast-growing auto market mitigated higher input costs. Costs rose 4-7 percent between April and September, Mahindra’s automotive president Pawan Goenka told reporters on Friday and he expects them to increase further, which may prompt the automaker to pass on some of the rise to consumers, he added. – Reuters

World’s largest electric carmaker Reva Motors, owned by utility vehicle major Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M ), plans to enter China, hoping to cash in on a rising demand for ecofriendly cars as governments push for stricter emission norms globally. The Bangalore-based company looks to introduce its mass market model in China which promotes ecofriendly vehicles through a subsidy programme. – The Economic Times

State-run BHEL reported a 33 per cent increase in its net profit at Rs 1,142.28 crore for the quarter ended September 30 on the back of good revenues from the power sector. The company had posted a net profit of Rs 857.88 crore during the same period last year. BHEL’s revenues from power sector stood at Rs 6,965 crore during the July-September quarter, registering a growth of over 28 per cent against Rs 5,428.3 crore reported during the corresponding quarter of the last year. – The Economic Times

Biocon will invest $161 million in a facility in Malaysia, joining a number of Indian companies that have chosen to establish facilities in the South-East Asian country. This investment would be done through a strategic partnership with a Malaysian firm Biotechnology. – The Economic Times

NTPC’s net profit declined marginally in the second quarter despite a 20% increase in its net sales. This was because of rise in employee cost following pay revision and higher tax burden. The company reported a net profit of Rs 2,107 crore in the September quarter against Rs 2,152 crore in the same period last year. The company’s employee cost for the latest quarter worked out to Rs 709 crore against Rs 504 crore in the corresponding period of 2009-10. The company’s net tax burden for the latest quarter was Rs 9,216 crore against Rs 6,183 crore.  – The Financial Express

State-run NTPC will invest about Rs 20,000 crore to set up a 3,960-megawatt (Mw) coal-based power project in Madhya Pradesh. NTPC had signed a memorandum of understanding with the state government and MP Power Trading Company regarding this, the company said in a filing to the Bombay Stock Exchange. The project is likely to be commissioned during the Twelfth Five-Year Plan Period (2012-17). NTPC currently generates over 32,000 Mw, of which nearly 60 per cent is coal-based. It plans to increase its capacity to 75,000 Mw by 2017. – Business Standard

NTPC Ltd is scouting for tie-ups with global reactor manufacturers for setting up nuclear power projects on its own. The thermal power major, which already has a minority stake in a partnership with its state-owned counterpart Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL) for setting up nuclear units, also plans to firm up independent collaborations with global reactor vendors to set up imported Light Water Reactor-based atomic projects. – The Hindu Business Line

KSB Pumps has announced its September quarter results. The company has reported a 6% growth in topline and a 34% fall in bottomline on a YoY basis.

Tata Communications on Thursday reported a consolidated net loss of Rs 213.50 crore for the quarter ended September 30, 2010. The Tata Group company had posted a net loss of Rs 155.54 crore for the same period last year. The company’s total income, however, increased by 8.82 per cent to Rs 2,960.66 crore in Q2, FY’11, from Rs 2,720.48 crore in the same quarter last fiscal. – The Economic Times

Bharti Airtel and Aircel Cellular are interested in buying the yet-to-be-launched Indian wireless broadband business of Qualcomm, industry executives said, an indication that the scales are tilting in favour of the wireless technology being championed by the US-based cellphone chip maker. Bharti Airtel, India’s largest mobile phone company, is primarily interested in Qualcomm’s airwaves and permits for Delhi, complementing the 3G frequencies it won in the circle earlier this year, the executives said. – The Economic Times

Riding on the back of strong growth in domestic sales and R&D innovation, FMCG major Hindustan Unilever (HUL) has clocked a 32.2 per cent jump in net profit at Rs 566 crore in Q2 FY’11 against Rs 428 crore in the year-ago period. Net profit also included an exceptional gain of Rs 40 crore that HUL received through sale of property and restructuring of its closed units. – The Indian Express

Tech Mahindra Ltd has reported a positive earnings surprise for the September quarter, with operating profit adjusted for one-offs rising by 32.1% quarter-on-quarter. But investors are likely to have questions about the sustainability of this growth – The Livemint

Mangalam Cement disclosed a phenomenon drop in standalone net profit for the quarter ended September 2010.  During the quarter, the profit of the company declined 97.58% to Rs 8.57 million from Rs 354.39 million in the same quarter last year. Net sales for the quarter declined 28.08% to Rs 1,157 million, while total income for the quarter fell 27.76% to Rs 1,179.03 million, when compared with the prior year period. – Myiris.com

Swaraj Engines announced that its board has approved expansion program to increase its installed capacity from 36,000 engines to 60,000 engines p.a. The proposed expansion project will entail total capex of around Rs 400 million, which will be fully financed from internal resources. – Myiris.com

For the Sep 10 quarter, Swaraj Engines reported net profit growth of 13% to Rs. 10.82 crore on overall poor performance though partially offset by crash in effective tax rate. The topline grew by 24% to Rs. 86.20 crore on increased sales in engine and high tech components. However fall in OPM by 100 bps limited the growth in operating profit to 17% to Rs. 15.01 crore. The profits were further affected by fall in other income and interest income though partially boosted by crash in effective tax rate. – IIFL

Interesting Reading

Opto Circuits Acquisition of Unetixs Vascular Creates Strong Synergies for Criticare Systems

The acquisition of Unetixs Vascular’s detection and diagnostics products complements and strengthens the existing Opto Circuits (I) Ltd. product portfolio investment in Criticare Systems, Inc.’s vital signs monitoring line and pulse oximetry sensors. Unetixs Vascular is a leader in products aimed at the detection of peripheral arterial disease (PAD), a condition that is affecting a growing portion of the population in both the developed world and in emerging economies.

Read more: http://www.centredaily.com/2010/10/28/2302348/opto-circuits-acquisition-of-unetixs.html#ixzz13rJu5Ctj

Suzlon Energy in a soup

The high-level committee headed by the Chief Secretary that investigated the Attappadi tribal land scam has demanded stringent action against power giant Suzlon Energy Ltd and the provider of the land, Sarjan Realities Ltd, in its report submitted to the government. The committee recommended the dismantling and removal of all the windmills and related accessories from the site. Read more:  http://expressbuzz.com/cities/kochi/suzlon-energy-in-a-soup/219329.html

End of privileges

NTPC is bracing itself for competition as the government mulls starting mandatory tariff-based bidding for power projects allocation from January. The company is taking a fresh look at various cost components of power generation. In the current cost-plus regime, any escalation in cost from project delays gets capitalised. And electricity consumers bear the extra cost, since project delays and cost escalation are not the developer’s headache.  Read more: http://www.indianexpress.com/news/end-of-privileges/701812/

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.05% -0.66% -0.80%
This month -0.69% -0.18% -0.20%
This Year 12.16% 14.70% 15.70%
Since 1-1-2009 129.66% 107.65% 103.37%
Since 1-1-2008 54.36% -0.86% -1.02%
Since 1-4-2007 91.77% 53.25% 57.47%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 9 2.99 Years 78
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 1.98 Years 133
Bharti Airtel Telecom 5 10 months 15
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 15
Hero Honda Auto 5 5 months 1

Shares I bought this month

Company Avg Cost
Graphite India 98.12
Mangalam Cement 162.85
Ess Dee Aluminium 499.41
Opto Circuits 313.74
Divi’s Laboratories 727.32
Tech Mahindra 770.31

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 203 2.5 Years
Dabur India 150 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 133 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 152 3.7 Years
Infosys 78 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -13 2 months
Opto Circuits -9 1 month
Tata Communication -9 10 months
Mangalam Cement -8 2 months
Ess Dee Aluminum -6 1 month

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