Portfolio Review: 13 November 2010

Indian stock market benchmark index declined sharply in the past week. BSE Sensex declined 4.04% to close at 20,157 and NSE Nifty 3.81% to close at 6,072. Some reports cited global worries of financial crisis and weak industrial output data as reasons for the crash. G20 summit in Seoul that concluded on Friday failed to take any reasonable action on the ongoing currency wars. Rate hike fears in China, payment default by Dubai group and Eurozone worries on Ireland’s worsening debt woes also added fuel to the fire.

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.65% and the year to date return stands at 12.11%. Shares of every company in my portfolio declined in the past week with Bharti Airtel, Berger Paints, Amara Raja Batterires, Bhel and TIL lead the decline.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 149.25 168%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 93.70 113%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 512.00 109%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 488.00 93%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 747.00 413.45 81%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 484.40 75%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 306.05 67%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 695.55 65%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 185.25 63%
HUL FMCG 482.00 301.55 60%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,581.50 59%

News Update

Costs linked to the newly acquired African operations and stiff competition at home have pulled down Bharti Airtel‘s net profit 27 per cent to Rs 1,661 crore during the second quarter ended September 2010 compared with Rs 2,263 crore in the corresponding period last year. This was the first full quarter of the African operations. – The Hindu Business Line

Bharti Airtel is going in for a mega brand change of Airtel for which the company will spend Rs 300 crores globally, sources close to the development said. The unveiling of the brand is expected next week. The new brand is expected to be splashed all across India, Africa, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Seychelles.  – The Economic Times

Bharti Airtel on Wednesday said it may look at listing its telecom tower subsidiary – Bharti Infratel. Bharti Infratel has 31,831 towers in 11 circles. According to analysts, the IPO can help Airtel unlock value in its tower infrastructure company. Passive infrastructure generated Rs 2,116 crore revenue for Bharti during the second quarter ended September, 30. – The Economic Times

A report that Bharti Airtel is eyeing Qualcomm’s wireless broadband business in Delhi is “sheer speculation”, Bharti’s CEO for India and South Asia said on Wednesday. – Reuters

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) on Thursday said that the company’s new tractors plant in South India will commence operations by financial year 2013. The plant, expected to come up close to Chennai, will produce both Swaraj and M&M brand tractors and have a capacity of 75,000 to one lakh units per annum. – The Financial Express

NTPC will commission the first unit of Stage-II expansion project of Simhadri Super Thermal Power Station by March 2011. Two units of 500 MW each in the first phase were synchronised in 2002. Simhadri, the first shore-based power plant, is adding two more units each with 500 MW by investing around Rs.5,000 crore. – The Hindu

India’s top power producer NTPC Ltd said on Friday its board had approved investing 31.94 billion rupees for a coal mining project in the east Indian state of Jharkhand. The coal block, which was allotted to NTPC in October 2004, will start production in 2012. – Reuters

Swiss drugmaker Hoffmann-La Roche (Roche) has sued Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) a fourth time, this time for patent infringement involving its osteoporosis drug Boniva (ibandronate sodium). Boniva has been a major revenue earner for Roche and the sales are estimated to be between $850 million and $1 billion. Various patents covering the drug are due for expiry between 2019 and 2023. Boniva, a once-a-month drug, is used in treating or preventing post-menopausal osteoporosis. – DNA

Amara Raja Batteries will invest nearly Rs 130 crore by September next year to hike production capacity in a phased manner and on other capital expenditures. The company, which is aiming to become a global brand also said it is considering the possibility of setting up a manufacturing unit overseas, preferably in Southeast Asia and Africa. – The Economic Times

Opto Circuits (India) Ltd. (OCI), India’s leading developer and manufacturer of patient monitoring systems and interventional products registered 30% growth in consolidated net sales to Rs. 331.38 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by 360 basis points to 31.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing, Administrative & Marketing Expenses.  – IIFL

Divi’s Laboratories reported 15% decrease in consolidated net profit to Rs. 71.93 crore despite 13% increase in net sales to Rs. 255.31 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by whopping 1330 basis points to 33.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing expenses and consumption cost. Thus, operating profit decreased by 18% to Rs. 87.84 crore. Other income increased by 67% to Rs. 5.63 crore. – IIFL

TIL Ltd [Formerly Tractors India] announced financial results for its half year & quarter ended 30th Sept, 2010. On a consolidated basis, during April – September 10-11, the company reported a total income of Rs. 6.42bn vis-à-vis Rs. 4.23bn in April-September last year, registering a growth of 52% over same period previous year. Profit Before Tax stood at Rs. 348mn vis-à-vis Rs. 249mn, showing a growth of 40%. Profit After Tax also grew to Rs. 243mn from Rs. 174mn, in the corresponding period- previous year, registering a growth of 40%. EPS stood at Rs. 24.31as on 30th September, 2010 vis-à-vis Rs. 16.65 as on 30th September, 2009. – IIFL

GAIL (India) plans a capex of Rs.40,000 crore for the next four years for undertaking various projects, including sourcing of LNG, a top company official said on Saturday. – The Hindu

Interesting Read

Bharti Airtel adds customers, not value

Bharti Airtel’s September 2010 quarter numbers raise doubts over the feasibility of adding new subscribers to the mobile network . The country’s largest telecom operator reported decent user additions during the quarter but failed to show any meaningful addition to the minutes of usage on its mobile network. … So far, Bharti’s stock has not participated in the broader stock market rally. It gained a meagre 2% in the past three months compared with the 14% gains in the benchmark Sensex. The benefits from the 3G launch expected in the next two quarters and a gradual turnaround in its African business are long term in nature. In the near term, however, the stock’s movement may be restricted given the lack of any fresh triggers.  http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/earnings/earnings-analysis-/Bharti-Airtel-adds-customers-not-value/articleshow/6904529.cms

Hero Honda market share falls closer to 50% mark

The market share of India’s largest two-wheeler manufacturer Hero Honda Motors Ltd may slip to below 50% as competition heats up and production lags demand, say analysts. Amid talk of a possible exit by its Japanese partner Honda Motor Co. from the joint venture, the company’s market share in the motorcycle segment dropped to 52.9% at the end of the September quarter from 60.4% a year earlier, according to data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers. http://www.livemint.com/2010/11/09214824/Hero-Honda-market-share-falls.html?atype=tp

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.65% -4.04% -3.81%
This month -0.05% 0.62% 0.90%
This Year 12.11% 15.41% 16.74%
Since 1-1-2009 129.54% 108.94% 105.19%
Since 1-1-2008 54.28% -0.25% -0.13%
Since 1-4-2007 91.68% 54.20% 58.88%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 80
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 2 Years 134
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 18
Hero Honda Auto 5 5 months -2
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 4 months 5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Ess Dee Aluminium 490.76
Graphite India 94.72
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 482.21
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 733.96
Amara Raja Batteries 197.71
NTPC 197.65

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 204 2.5 Years
Dabur India 143 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 134 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 136 3.7 Years
Infosys 80 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -11 2 months
Amara Raja Batteries -6 0 month
Tata Communication -10 10 months
Mangalam Cement -8 2 months
TIL -5 0 month

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


2 thoughts on “Portfolio Review: 13 November 2010”

  1. Even the amateur can come across the web site of the specific corporation in which he is interested and can collect the needed info. The stock broker can guide the newbie in the present scenario of stock exchange and could give some predictions and suggestions about next few days of trading trends. As the stock exchange isn’t steady, the new investor will need to watch some swings and roundabouts and try and study them making use of the study strategies they have picked up thus far.

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