Tag Archives: Dr. Reddy’s

Weekly Portfolio Review: 26 December 2010

BSE Sensex ended the last week higher by 209 points to close at 20,074 and NSE Nifty 63 points at 6,012. Return on my portfolio in the past week was 1.76%. Hero Honda gained 15% in the past week. Other gainers in my portfolio were TIL, Graphite India, NIIT Tech, Divi’s Lab, and Swaraj Engines which gained from 5% to 8%. In the losers pack were Opto Circuits, Dr. Reddy’s Lab, and Crompton Greaves which lost 5% to 9%.

The surge in Hero Honda was after the Hero Group management allayed fears that there won’t be any impact on minority shareholders in Hero Honda after its split from the Japanese auto major Honda. The official disclosure of details of the parting of the joint venture with Honda ended all rumours that were going around for sometimes now.

NIIT Technologies acquired an electronic health records and referral management platform called “Preferr” to initiate its foray into the lucrative healthcare segment in the US. In another tragic incident, 2 persons died after inhaling poisonous gas at a manufacturing facility of Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 521.95 105%
Zensar Tech IT 318.00 159.85 99%
Tata Sponge Iron Metal 700.00 357.10 96%
Oil Country Tubular Metal 173.00 90.70 91%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 105.40 90%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 635.95 72%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,398.05 71%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 683.00 68%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 505.95 68%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 182.00 66%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 551.00 348.50 58%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,284.75 56%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,074.00 688.10 56%

I will be buying Zensar Technologies, Oil Country Tubular, Divis Laboratories and Honeywell Automation in this week. KSB Pumps and Tata Sponge Iron are already within my top 5 holding.

My plan is to limit number of companies in my holding to 30. At present I have 32 companies and when I buy Zensar Tech and Oil Country Tubular this week, it will reach 34. In order to align my portfolio with my plan, I will be selling shares of four companies in coming weeks.

I will sell Glenmark Pharma and Dr. Reddy’s in this week. My return on Glenmark Pharma is 47% in 9 months and on Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories is 23% in 4 months.

News Update

I am discontinuing this part from my weekly portfolio review. However I will share on twitter any news on companies that has been mentioned in ‘good buys in my watchlist’.  You may follow me on twitter at www.twitter.com/mvalappil

Interesting Read

Margins to remain under pressure at consumer goods firms

In a year during which food inflation stayed stubbornly high for the most part, packaged consumer goods companies engaged in a pitched battle for market share, driving up volumes with price wars, new launches and increased spending on high-decibel promotions even as margins got squeezed. http://www.livemint.com/2010/12/21045902/Margins-to-remain-under-pressu.html?atype=tp

Tariff-based bids to hurt power PSUs

Competition among power companies could become fiercer soon, with the Centre all set to introduce tariff-based competitive bidding for the allocation of projects from January 6. Consumers can rejoice as the new regime would bring down electricity tariffs across the country. Private sector players like Reliance Power, Tata Power, Sterlite, JSW Energy, Adani and Lanco Infratech, who are well-equipped to negotiate prices with vendors and also have access to secure fuel supplies, would be at an advantage when it comes to grabbing projects under the new regime. However, NTPC, despite its unmatched project-execution expertise, is expected to face the heat, at least initially. http://www.indianexpress.com/news/tariffbased-bids-to-hurt-power-psus/728274/

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 1.76% 1.05% 1.06%
This month 1.55% 2.82% 2.53%
This Year 10.72% 14.94% 15.58%
Since 1-1-2009 126.71% 108.08% 103.16%
Since 1-1-2008 52.38% -0.66% -1.12%
Since 1-4-2007 89.31% 53.56% 57.31%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 102
Graphite India Telecom 6 2 Months 9
HUL FMCG 5 5 Months 12
KSB Pumps Engineering 5 3 Months -6
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancillory 5 2 Months 9

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Tata Sponge Iron 364.43
Graphite India 95.62
BHEL 2,339.58
HUL 302.01
Tractors India Ltd 690.22
Swaraj Engines 491.85
KSB Pumps 506.95

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 218 2.6 Years
Dabur India 152 4.6 Years
Tata Global Beverages 111 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 168 3.8 Years
Infosys 102 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Opto Circuits -14 2 months
Honeywell Automation -10 1 month
Tata Communication -25 11 months
Mangalam Cement -17 2 months
Divi’s Laboratories -10 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews

Weekly Portfolio Review: 28 November 2010

Decline in Indian stock market benchmark index continued for the third week in a row now. BSE Sensex declined 2.29% to close at 19,137 and NSE Nifty 2.35% to close at 5,752 in the past week. The Sensex dropped 4 out of 5 working days. On Monday market was up on Irish rescue deal. Then next four days saw the sharp falls as bribery scandal involving the officials of PSU banks and financial institution unearthed.

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.74% and the year to date return stands at 6.66%. Shares of 11 companies in my portfolio declined more than 5% while 4 companies gained more than 2% in the past week. Amara Raja Batteries was biggest saver with 6.36% gain.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 125.50 219%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 85.95 133%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 505.00 112%
Tata Sponge Iron Metal 700.00 347.95 101%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 752.00 384.80 95%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 487.05 93%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 470.35 81%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,074.00 625.05 77%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 617.80 77%
Opto Circuits Healthcare 450.00 265.55 69%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 680.00 69%
NTPC Power 293.00 176.75 66%
HUL FMCG 485.00 293.40 65%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,482.75 65%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 184.00 64%
Hero Honda Auto 3,151.00 1,936.40 63%

News Update

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories Limited has signed an agreement with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), one of the world’s leading research-based pharmaceutical and healthcare companies, to buy the latter’s oral penicillin manufacturing facility at Tennessee in the US. The financial terms of the acquisition were not disclosed. The transaction is expected to be closed within the first half of calendar 2011.- Business Standard , 28 Nov. 10

Land acquisition for second phase of National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) power plant coming up near Mouda may run into trouble as farmers have scaled up their demand for compensation. They are now asking for Rs 25 lakh per acre compensation and job for one member of their family.  – Times of India, 26 NOV 2010

The National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), India’s largest power producer, has added a 500 MW coal-fired unit at Korba in Chhattisgarh, a company statement said Friday. ‘The new 500-MW unit of NTPC’s Korba super thermal power station in Chhattisgarh has been synchronised with the grid,’ the statement said. – Sify

NTPC has set up a joint venture with the Asian Development Bank and Japan’s Kyuden International Corporation to develop renewable energy projects with a capacity of 500 Mw over the next three years. NTPC will have 50 per cent stake in the JV, while ADB and Kyuden International will contribute 25 per cent each towards the equity share capital of the company, the power company said in a statement. The initial authorised share capital will be Rs 6.5 crore and the paid-up share capital Rs 1 crore. – Sify, Nov 25, 2010

Bharti Airtel Ltd.’s Kenyan mobile- phone unit will begin rolling out 3G services in the first quarter of 2011 as part of a push for more customers and a return to profit at its unprofitable African operations.  New products will include e-mail and e-commerce services, Rene Meza, managing director of Airtel Networks Kenya Ltd., said in an interview yesterday in Nairobi, the capital. Airtel is considering subsidizing laptops and Internet-enabled handsets to drive data use in East Africa’s biggest economy, he said. – Bloomberg 23 Nov 2010

IT company Mphasis said its consolidated net profit rose by 20 per cent to Rs 1,090.75 crore for the year ended October 31, 2010, over the same period last year. Revenues rose to Rs 5,036.52 crore during the year ended October 31, against Rs 4,263.88 crore in the same period last year. – The Economic Times, 22 NOV 2010

Mahindra & Mahindra today said it has signed a definitive agreement with Ssangyong Motor Company Limited (SYMC) to acquire 70 per cent stake in the ailing South Korean auto maker at a total cost of USD 463 million (about Rs 2,105 crore). The company said in a statement that it expected the deal to be concluded by March 2011. – Times of India, 23 NOV 2010

Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (BHEL) and GE India Industrial Pvt. Ltd. (GEIIPL), a 100% owned subsidiary of GE, USA, have joined hands for cooperation on Water Treatment Equipment. As per the agreement, BHEL and GEIIPL will jointly engineer and supply water treatment solutions for the Indian market. Over the term of the agreement, through joint working, BHEL will acquire the capability to address large water treatment systems based on GE Products, on its own. – Indiainfoline.com 22 NOV 2010

Eurocor GmbH, wholly-owned subsidiary of Opto Circuits India, announced today the launch of FREEWAY, the latest second-generation, percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) balloon technology designed for the treatment of critical limb ischaemia associated with peripheral arterial disease (PAD). – Indiainfoline.com 22 NOV 2010

Interesting Read

Dr Reddy’s expands horizon

Acquistion of GSK’s facility in the US marks entry into a new therapeutic segment. Already having a deal with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) for marketing its products in various emerging markets, Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) had this week inked an agreement to buy the latter’s oral penicillin manufacturing facility at Tennessee in the US. Though the financial terms were not disclosed, the transaction is expected to be closed within the first half of calendar 2011.

http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/dr-reddys-expands-horizon/416319/

DoT gearing up to penalise telcos over network roll-out delays

Even as the government contemplates the imposition of penalties worth over Rs 135 crore on old telcos that have not completed network roll-out in circles allotted to them, the Telecom Ministry is likely to issue showcause notices to new operators for similar lapses. As per the revised figures, Bharti Airtel faces a penalty of Rs 31 crore, while the Tatas (CDMA operations) are likely to be asked to be paid liquidated damages of over Rs 40 crore.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/telecom/DoT-gearing-up-to-penalise-telcos-over-network-roll-out-delays/articleshow/7005003.cms

Rural FMGC markets ready to go premium

Market research firm Nielsen has sounded out premium goods marketers to take country roads, saying the rural FMCG market will grow 10 times to $100 billion by 2025 and that the rural consumer is increasingly buying premium and convenience-oriented products.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/cons-products/fmcg/Rural-FMGC-markets-ready-to-go-premium/articleshow/6985029.cms

MphasiS joins billion dollar club

Indian IT and BPO services company MphasiS, which is majority-owned by HP, has achieved the milestone of $1 billion in revenues during the accounting year-ended October 31, 2010. The company posted revenues of Rs 5,037 crore ($1.09 billion) during the period with a growth of 18.1 per cent over the previous accounting year. The Bangalore-based company took about 12 years to achieve this. With sight on the next phase of growth and bring in better alignment in its business, MphasiS has also initiated a restructuring process in partnership with global consulting firm, Boston Consulting Group.

http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/mphasis-joins-billion-dollar-club/416044/

Bharti Airtel: An emperor sized operation

Bharti Airtel is an emperor sized operation in every sense of the term, starting with the standalone gross revenues of Rs 356 bn that it recorded, to its gross fixed asset base of Rs 442 bn (that makes it all possible), to its investment portfolio base of Rs 157 bn, to its gross working capital base of Rs 93 bn, to the humungous net cash flow of Rs 127 bn that it generated, to its 22 subsidiaries and fellow subsidiaries, 2 associates, 3 joint ventures and 18 companies where the management exercises control of some sort, to the Rs 8 bn in cash and bank balances, to the 43 companies that it had related party transactions with in FY10, and the Rs 7 bn in services that it rendered to these related parties and the Rs 41 bn in services that it received in return from these related parties.

http://www.equitymaster.com/outsideview/detail.asp?date=11/23/2010&story=2

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.74% -2.29% -2.35%
This month -4.91% -4.47% -4.42%
This Year 6.66% 9.57% 10.59%
Since 1-1-2009 118.39% 98.37% 94.39%
Since 1-1-2008 46.79% -5.30% -5.39%
Since 1-4-2007 82.36% 46.39% 50.51%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 82
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 5 2 Years 111
KSB Pumps Engineering 5 3 Months -11
Mangalam Cements Cements 5 2 Months -20
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 4 Months -3

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Ess Dee Aluminium 490.76
Graphite India 93.19
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 480.38
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 710.47
Amara Raja Batteries 190.03
NTPC 197.65
Honeywell Automation 2,633.95
KSB Pumps 522.76
Mangalam Cements 146.60
Maharashtra Seamless 406.07
Tata Sponge Iron 372.62

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11
Kansai Nerolac 916.04

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 202 2.5 Years
Dabur India 137 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 111 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 113 3.7 Years
Infosys 82 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Tech Mahindra -18 1 month
BHEL -18 2 months
Tata Communication -23 10 months
Mangalam Cement -20 2 months
Divi’s Laboratories -15 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 20 November 2010

After 4% decline in the previous week, Indian stock market benchmark index BSE Sensex dropped another 2.84% last week to close at 19585.44. NSE Nifty shed 2.99% in the week to close at 5890.30. The corruption scandal and global worries are cited as reasons for the decline. This week is beginning with political uncertainties in the wake of 2G scam!

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.18% and the year to date return stands at 9.66%. Shares of most of the companies in my portfolio declined in the past week with Berger Paints, Mangalam Cements, Tech Mahindra, Amara Raja Batteries and Reliance leading the losers! However Bharti Airtel and Hero Honda, which are in top 10 in my portfolio, gained more than 7% last week. The biggest news in my portfolio was the launch of new logo by Airtel.  The company crossed the significant milestone of 200 million customers.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 138.70 188%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 92.30 117%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 508.00 111%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 487.00 93%
Tata Sponge Iron Metal 700.00 366.00 91%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 750.00 392.50 91%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 471.30 80%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 173.00 74%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 676.55 70%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 669.50 64%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 680.75 63%
Opto Circuits Healthcare 450.00 277.10 62%
HUL FMCG 483.00 298.70 62%
NTPC Power 293.00 184.30 59%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,256.65 58%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,610.00 57%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 328.85 55%
Mphasis IT 841.00 561.15 50%

News Update

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories today said it has received approval from US health regulator to launch generic Zafirlukast tablets, used for treating asthma, in the American market. According to IMS health, Zafirlukast tablets had total sales of around USD 50 million in the US market for twelve months ended August 31, 2010. – Economic Times, 20 Nov 2010

India’s GSM subscribers base grew 3 per cent in October with the addition of 14.7 million subscribers with telecom giant Bharti Airtel alone signing over 3 million users. Bharti Airtel now gains a market share of 28.76 per cent, with 146.29 million subscribers — the highest in the country. Vodafone added 2.49 million subscribers in the country, a growth of 40 per cent as against 1.78 million the previous month to have a total of 118 million subscribers. – Economic Times

The world’s fifth largest telecom operator Bharti Airtel, has christened itself as ‘airtel’, launching a global campaign that would re-brand its operations across the world. On Thursday, company’s CMD Sunil Bharti Mittal lifted the veil off the new logo – an artistically written small ‘A’ above ‘Airtel’ with the letters in lower case – all in red against a white background. Subsequently, the brand name – Zain Telecom in Africa and Warid Telecom in Bangladesh would be changed to ‘airtel’. – The Times of India

GAIL (India) Ltd has struck a long-term natural gas supply deal with state-owned National Fertilisers Ltd and Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertiliser Company Ltd, which have decided to convert their manufacturing plants from naphtha to gas, a more efficient feedstock.  – The Financial Express

Looking to cash in on the boom in auto sales, domestic utility vehicle major Mahindra & Mahindra has lined up as many as seven new products in the passenger vehicle segment that will hit the roads over the next 15-18 months. The list includes an all-new premium SUV from its own stable and two from the recently-acquired Korean company Ssangyong , apart from new versions of Logan, the mid-sized passenger car. – The Economic Times

Anand Mahindra-led Mahindra Group, which entered aerospace last year, has zeroed in on yet another business opportunity.  The group has firmed up plans for getting into solar energy generation business and is looking to rope in a partner, which would bring in domain expertise as well as funding for the venture. – DNA

Crompton Greaves Ltd (CGL), a part of the $4 billion Avantha Group, has claimed that it has become the world’s first company to develop high range power product- 1200 KV Capacitive Voltage Transformer (CVT). The company has spent close to Rs.70 crore to develop this high range power product, which has been indigenously developed and manufactured at its state-of-the-art Nashik facility. – Business Standard

Opto Circuits (India) announced that Criticare Systems USA, the company`s wholly owned subsidiary has released its next-gen CO2N2O module. The module is a compact version of the proven Criticare Systems Poet series CO2 detection technology, which, using non-dispersive infrared technology, will measure inspired and expired CO2 and N2O gases. – Myiris

Interesting Read

Small commercial vehicles fly as rural demand strengthens

The small commercial vehicle (SCV) segment, which is growing at a rate of 18% annually on the back of strong demand from hinterland and boom in construction, retail and production sectors, has caught the fancy of commercial vehicle makers. Tata Motors is the dominant player with Ace while Piaggio Vehicles and Bajaj Auto are the other major companies.M&M has recently entered the segment with Maxximo, Force Motors and Ashok Leyland have lined up forays. General Motors plans to enter the segment in 2012. – http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report_smallcommercialvehiclesflyasruraldemandstrengthens_1468750

FMCG cos mull soap price hike

With increasing pressure on their margins, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies such as Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL) are considering taking a price hike on products like soaps. The cost of palm oil, a key raw material for making toilet soap, has risen by 30-35 % in one quarter. Although market leader Hindustan Unilever (HUL) has not yet passed on the cost escalation to consumers, industry analysts said it was only a matter of time before the company takes a price increase in toilet soaps. Read more: FMCG cos mull soap price hike – The Times of India http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/FMCG-cos-mull-soap-price-hike/articleshow/6958162.cms#ixzz15vv5w18b

Unilever to halve ecological impact by 2020: Harish Manwani

Hindustan Unilever has embarked on a new journey, on the path of sustainable living. As part of Sustainable Living Plan, the FMCG major has chalked out a 10-year roadmap to halve its environmental impact in the form of reducing water usage and greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The company, whose products touch the lives of 2 billion consumers around the world every day, in addition targets to source all its agricultural supplies including palm oil and tea from sustainable sources. http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/unilever-to-halve-ecological-impact-by-2020-harish-manwani_500360.html

FMCG cos see return of ‘premium’ demand

Two years after consumers began downtrading, or preferring cheaper alternatives to regular brands, the trend has reversed in the `1,30,000-crore FMCG industry. People are now uptrading, or buying premium products across personal care and foods segments, thanks to rising incomes and confidence. Companies such as Hindustan Unilever , Procter & Gamble, GlaxoSmithKline and Marico are responding to this new trend by promoting and launching a spree of premium brands across shampoos, skincare products, toothpastes, biscuits, breakfast cereals and fine cheese. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/cons-products/fmcg/FMCG-cos-see-return-of-premium-demand/articleshow/6944533.cms

GAIL to make waves via expansion, consolidation and diversification

GAIL India, the state-run gas transmission and marketing company, has charted a new corporate business plan up to 2020. The focus is on consolidation, expansion and diversification. It plans to increase turnover to Rs 1 lakh crore by 2020 from Rs 24,996 crore. It plans to consolidate presence in petrochemicals and renewable energy, allocate 15 per cent of annual capital expenditure for exploration and production (E&P), pick up equity in upstream LNG (liquefied natural gas) projects abroad, and pursue investments in shale gas projects in and outside India. Besides, GAIL India is keen to expand its city gas distribution business and undertake distributed generation projects along its pipelines. http://sify.com/finance/gail-to-make-waves-via-expansion-consolidation-and-diversification-news-equity-klpbFsaijha.html

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.18% -2.84% -2.99%
This month -2.23% -2.23% -2.12%
This Year 9.66% 12.14% 13.25%
Since 1-1-2009 124.53% 103.02% 99.06%
Since 1-1-2008 50.92% -3.08% -3.12%
Since 1-4-2007 87.49% 49.83% 54.13%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 78
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 5 2 Years 122
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 17
Hero Honda Auto 5 5Months 5
Graphite India Engineering 5 2 Months -5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Ess Dee Aluminium 484.19
Graphite India 93.19
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 480.38
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 710.47
Amara Raja Batteries 190.03
NTPC 197.65
Honeywell Automation 2,633.95
Mangalam Cement 147.00

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11
Kansai Nerolac 916.04

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 199 2.5 Years
Dabur India 145 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 122 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 114 3.7 Years
Infosys 78 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -12 2 months
Tech Mahindra -11 1 month
Tata Communication -14 10 months
Mangalam Cement -13 2 months
BHEL -10 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 13 November 2010

Indian stock market benchmark index declined sharply in the past week. BSE Sensex declined 4.04% to close at 20,157 and NSE Nifty 3.81% to close at 6,072. Some reports cited global worries of financial crisis and weak industrial output data as reasons for the crash. G20 summit in Seoul that concluded on Friday failed to take any reasonable action on the ongoing currency wars. Rate hike fears in China, payment default by Dubai group and Eurozone worries on Ireland’s worsening debt woes also added fuel to the fire.

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.65% and the year to date return stands at 12.11%. Shares of every company in my portfolio declined in the past week with Bharti Airtel, Berger Paints, Amara Raja Batterires, Bhel and TIL lead the decline.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 149.25 168%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 93.70 113%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 512.00 109%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 488.00 93%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 747.00 413.45 81%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 484.40 75%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 306.05 67%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 695.55 65%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 185.25 63%
HUL FMCG 482.00 301.55 60%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,581.50 59%

News Update

Costs linked to the newly acquired African operations and stiff competition at home have pulled down Bharti Airtel‘s net profit 27 per cent to Rs 1,661 crore during the second quarter ended September 2010 compared with Rs 2,263 crore in the corresponding period last year. This was the first full quarter of the African operations. – The Hindu Business Line

Bharti Airtel is going in for a mega brand change of Airtel for which the company will spend Rs 300 crores globally, sources close to the development said. The unveiling of the brand is expected next week. The new brand is expected to be splashed all across India, Africa, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Seychelles.  – The Economic Times

Bharti Airtel on Wednesday said it may look at listing its telecom tower subsidiary – Bharti Infratel. Bharti Infratel has 31,831 towers in 11 circles. According to analysts, the IPO can help Airtel unlock value in its tower infrastructure company. Passive infrastructure generated Rs 2,116 crore revenue for Bharti during the second quarter ended September, 30. – The Economic Times

A report that Bharti Airtel is eyeing Qualcomm’s wireless broadband business in Delhi is “sheer speculation”, Bharti’s CEO for India and South Asia said on Wednesday. – Reuters

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) on Thursday said that the company’s new tractors plant in South India will commence operations by financial year 2013. The plant, expected to come up close to Chennai, will produce both Swaraj and M&M brand tractors and have a capacity of 75,000 to one lakh units per annum. – The Financial Express

NTPC will commission the first unit of Stage-II expansion project of Simhadri Super Thermal Power Station by March 2011. Two units of 500 MW each in the first phase were synchronised in 2002. Simhadri, the first shore-based power plant, is adding two more units each with 500 MW by investing around Rs.5,000 crore. – The Hindu

India’s top power producer NTPC Ltd said on Friday its board had approved investing 31.94 billion rupees for a coal mining project in the east Indian state of Jharkhand. The coal block, which was allotted to NTPC in October 2004, will start production in 2012. – Reuters

Swiss drugmaker Hoffmann-La Roche (Roche) has sued Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) a fourth time, this time for patent infringement involving its osteoporosis drug Boniva (ibandronate sodium). Boniva has been a major revenue earner for Roche and the sales are estimated to be between $850 million and $1 billion. Various patents covering the drug are due for expiry between 2019 and 2023. Boniva, a once-a-month drug, is used in treating or preventing post-menopausal osteoporosis. – DNA

Amara Raja Batteries will invest nearly Rs 130 crore by September next year to hike production capacity in a phased manner and on other capital expenditures. The company, which is aiming to become a global brand also said it is considering the possibility of setting up a manufacturing unit overseas, preferably in Southeast Asia and Africa. – The Economic Times

Opto Circuits (India) Ltd. (OCI), India’s leading developer and manufacturer of patient monitoring systems and interventional products registered 30% growth in consolidated net sales to Rs. 331.38 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by 360 basis points to 31.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing, Administrative & Marketing Expenses.  – IIFL

Divi’s Laboratories reported 15% decrease in consolidated net profit to Rs. 71.93 crore despite 13% increase in net sales to Rs. 255.31 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by whopping 1330 basis points to 33.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing expenses and consumption cost. Thus, operating profit decreased by 18% to Rs. 87.84 crore. Other income increased by 67% to Rs. 5.63 crore. – IIFL

TIL Ltd [Formerly Tractors India] announced financial results for its half year & quarter ended 30th Sept, 2010. On a consolidated basis, during April – September 10-11, the company reported a total income of Rs. 6.42bn vis-à-vis Rs. 4.23bn in April-September last year, registering a growth of 52% over same period previous year. Profit Before Tax stood at Rs. 348mn vis-à-vis Rs. 249mn, showing a growth of 40%. Profit After Tax also grew to Rs. 243mn from Rs. 174mn, in the corresponding period- previous year, registering a growth of 40%. EPS stood at Rs. 24.31as on 30th September, 2010 vis-à-vis Rs. 16.65 as on 30th September, 2009. – IIFL

GAIL (India) plans a capex of Rs.40,000 crore for the next four years for undertaking various projects, including sourcing of LNG, a top company official said on Saturday. – The Hindu

Interesting Read

Bharti Airtel adds customers, not value

Bharti Airtel’s September 2010 quarter numbers raise doubts over the feasibility of adding new subscribers to the mobile network . The country’s largest telecom operator reported decent user additions during the quarter but failed to show any meaningful addition to the minutes of usage on its mobile network. … So far, Bharti’s stock has not participated in the broader stock market rally. It gained a meagre 2% in the past three months compared with the 14% gains in the benchmark Sensex. The benefits from the 3G launch expected in the next two quarters and a gradual turnaround in its African business are long term in nature. In the near term, however, the stock’s movement may be restricted given the lack of any fresh triggers.  http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/earnings/earnings-analysis-/Bharti-Airtel-adds-customers-not-value/articleshow/6904529.cms

Hero Honda market share falls closer to 50% mark

The market share of India’s largest two-wheeler manufacturer Hero Honda Motors Ltd may slip to below 50% as competition heats up and production lags demand, say analysts. Amid talk of a possible exit by its Japanese partner Honda Motor Co. from the joint venture, the company’s market share in the motorcycle segment dropped to 52.9% at the end of the September quarter from 60.4% a year earlier, according to data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers. http://www.livemint.com/2010/11/09214824/Hero-Honda-market-share-falls.html?atype=tp

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.65% -4.04% -3.81%
This month -0.05% 0.62% 0.90%
This Year 12.11% 15.41% 16.74%
Since 1-1-2009 129.54% 108.94% 105.19%
Since 1-1-2008 54.28% -0.25% -0.13%
Since 1-4-2007 91.68% 54.20% 58.88%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 80
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 2 Years 134
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 18
Hero Honda Auto 5 5 months -2
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 4 months 5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Ess Dee Aluminium 490.76
Graphite India 94.72
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 482.21
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 733.96
Amara Raja Batteries 197.71
NTPC 197.65

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 204 2.5 Years
Dabur India 143 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 134 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 136 3.7 Years
Infosys 80 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -11 2 months
Amara Raja Batteries -6 0 month
Tata Communication -10 10 months
Mangalam Cement -8 2 months
TIL -5 0 month

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 16 October 2010

Indian share market closed the week in red for the second consecutive week. BSE Sensex slipped 0.62% to end the week at 20,125 points and NSE Nifty slipped 0.67% to end at 6,063. My portfolio lost 0.80% during the week. In the year to date, the gain in my portfolio is 14.21%. During the current month, Hindustan Zinc, Biocon, Dr. Reddy’s, Maharashtra Seamless, and NIIT Technology were the largest gainer in my portfolio while Bharti Airtel, NTPC, Blue Star, Berger and Dabur India contributed to loss!

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Margin
Hero Honda Auto 3,108.00 1,802.40 72%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 739.00 435.15 70%
HUL FMCG 477.00 298.10 60%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 717.45 53%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 334.25 53%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 752.45 48%

News Update

Wind turbine manufacturer, Suzlon Energy, today announced new orders for developing 168.5 megawatt (MW) wind turbine capacity. Most of these are repeat orders and have come from the corporate and small and medium business segments as well as public sector undertakings (PSU). These orders have come on the back of the Techno group’s order of 202 MW on September 21 and the Altrade group’s order of 30 MW on September 3. – Business Standard, 2010 October 15

Belgium-based gearbox maker Hansen Transmissions, a subsidiary of Suzlon Energy, is planning to sell its industrial gearbox division to Sumitomo Heavy Industries for Rs 465 crore (euro 75 million). The division gets about 16 per cent of Hansen’s revenues; the company is mainly a wind energy gearbox manufacturer. After the transaction, Hansen will become a purely renewable energy company, the statement said. The division had generated revenues of Rs 514 crore (euro 83 million) in 2009-2010 and Rs 580 crore (euro 94 million) in the previous financial year, representing 15.6 per cent and 15.5 per cent of total sales of Hansen. – Business Standard, 2010 October 16

Bharti Airtel, India’s largest telco by both revenues and customers, may have to fork out more than Rs 1,800 crore to buy out Telecom Consultants of India’s (TCIL) 30% stake in its subsidiary Bharti Hexacom, which offers mobile services in six northeastern states (excluding Assam) and Rajasthan. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 16

Top mobile operator Bharti Airtel , which recently outsourced the IT requirements for its Africa operations to IBM, is now close to finalising a deal to outsource its customer support services. The deal could be a landmark in the African continent, where customer support is limited and rarely outsourced. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 15

Infosys Technologies on Friday reported consolidated revenues of Rs.6,947 crore in the second quarter ended September 30, an increase of 24.4 per cent over the previous year. The company made a net profit of Rs.1,737 crore in the second quarter, an increase of 13.2 per cent on an annualised basis. Earnings per share were higher by 13 per cent at Rs.30.41 compared to the previous year. – The Hindu, 2010 October 15

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories said on Saturday it had received an approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for lansoprazole delayed-release capsules. The firm will be launching the capsules, a bioequivalent generic version of Prevacid Delayed Release Capsules, in the U.S. market, it said in a statement to the Bombay Stock Exchange. – Reuters, 2010 October 16

Eli Lilly, the US pharma giant, has sued Dr Reddy’s Laboratories over an alleged patent infringement involving Gemzar. The drug, an injection, is used in treatment for non-small cell lung cancer, pancreatic cancer, breast cancer and ovarian cancer and is estimated to have a market of about $700 million. – DNA, 2010 October 12

Drug firm Cadila Healthcare today said it has launched generic Pramipexole tablets, used for treating Parkinson’s disease, in the American market. The sale of Pramipexole tablets in 2010 is estimated to be USD 632 million according to healthcare information solutions company NDC Health, Cadila said. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 14

Global power equipment major Alstom will tie up with Bhel to supply turbines for Nuclear Power Corporation’s (NPCIL) 700-mw pressurised heavy water reactors (PHWR) based nuclear power plants. A tripartite joint venture (JV) agreement between the French company, Bhel and NPCIL will be signed soon, a senior executive of Alstom Power said. – The Financial Express, 2010 October 14

Interesting Reading

HUL plans ‘Bharat’ packs for rural markets

Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) is going beyond the Shakti Ammas to drive penetration in the rural markets. After witnessing a good monsoon which might lead to increased rural spending, HUL is planning to bring out branded packs called ‘Bharat,’ targeted at the rural hinterland pegged at Rs 25. Considering nearly half the FMCG behemoth’s turnover (Rs 17,524 crore) comes from the rural markets, it is now ready to have customised branded packs with lower-priced SKUs to cater specifically to them. According to industry sources, HUL is now in talks with rural marketing agencies to create a ‘Bharat Pack.’ The pack would comprise smaller SKUs costing Rs 4-5, and consist of toothpaste, shampoos, powder and soaps. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/10/15/stories/2010101553440900.htm

HUL, P&G, Reckitt, Kellogg’s raise margins up to 25%

Modern retail has taken a lead in its fight against consumer product companies with consumer product companies including Hindustan Unilever and Procter & Gamble increasing retailers’ margins on the wake of tough competition from the latter’s private brands. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/services/retailing/HUL-PG-Reckitt-Kelloggs-raise-margins-up-to-25/articleshow/6750769.cms

Foreign institutions hike stake in 14 out of 16 Sensex companies

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs), which exert a substantial influence on the Indian markets, have increased their stake in nearly half of the Sensex companies in the past quarter. Among the 16 Sensex firms that have disclosed their shareholding pattern for the quarter ended September 30, 2010, 14 saw a rise in the FII holdings. This shows that FIIs were mostly bullish on large caps in the September quarter. – http://www.financialexpress.com/news/Foreign-institutions-hike-stake-in-14-out-of-16-Sensex-companies/698227/

Infosys Technologies: The Leadership Factory

Barney is the head of leadership development at Infosys Leadership Institute. Never in the storied 29-year history of Infosys has so much hinged on this responsibility. The seven founders, each of them pillars in their own right, have built and run a company that is solid in its business construct and has values that are unimpeachable. But they are leaving, one by one.  In his earlier assignments, Barney helped some of the world’s top companies, including Motorola , AT&T and Lucent Technologies , to identify their next set of leaders. But, with Infosys, he’s working for the first time with founders seeking to pass on the baton.  http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/corporate-trends/Infosys-Technologies-The-Leadership-Factory/articleshow/6750920.cms

Paint industry indicates resurgent real estate sector

Economists who perceive sales of paint as an indicator of the state of the economy may be counting the numbers already, but these days business is a shade different. With the rise in disposable income and rapid urbanisation, the seasonality of the business is flatenning out—paints are selling all round the year. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/features/sunday-et/business/Paints-no-longer-a-seasonal-business/articleshow/6761604.cms

The mystery known as Bharti Airtel

Bharti Airtel. Investors will likely have mixed feelings on hearing this name. Depending on when one has invested in the stock, one will either be thrilled or dejected. Year on year, the stock has returned next to nothing. But for those who’ve invested 3-4 months back, the returns have been fantastic to say the least. http://www.equitymaster.com/detail.asp?date=10/13/2010&story=8

A pure value proposition

The water purification category grows on the back of storage water purifiers with a range of value-for-money models launched by Eureka Forbes and HUL. W hen Shapoor Mistry, Chairman of Eureka Forbes, made a rare public appearance at a press conference to announce the launch of new variant of Aquasure, it emphasised his company’s vision to provide pure and safe drinking water to every Indian home. Today the pioneer and leader in water purification is targeting the mass market with value-for-money (VFM) products. Competing with Eureka Forbes is one of the largest FMCG majors in the country, Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL), with its Pureit brand. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/catalyst/2010/10/14/stories/2010101450030100.htm

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -0.80% -0.62% -0.67%
This month 1.12% 0.28% 0.54%
This Year 14.21% 15.23% 16.57%
Since 1-1-2009 133.86% 108.61% 104.89%
Since 1-1-2008 57.18% -0.41% -0.28%
Since 1-4-2007 95.28% 53.95% 58.64%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 9 2.91 Years 84
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 1.90 Years 144
Bharti Airtel Telecom 6 9 months 15
HUL FMCG 6 3 Months 17
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 3 months 11

Shares I bought this month

Company Avg Price
Graphite India 93.61
Mangalam Cement 160.87
Ess Dee Aluminium 491.95
Opto Circuits 309.05
Divi’s Laboratories 723.45
Tech Mahindra 768.85

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 217 2.4 Years
Dabur India 158 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 144 1.9 Years
Berger Paints 156 3.6 Years
Infosys 84 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -8 1 month
Graphite India -3 2 months
Tech Mahindra -4 0 month
Hero Honda -3 4 months
Ess Dee Aluminum -4 0 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews

Portfolio Review: 9 October 2010

BSE Sensex dipped 0.95% and NSE Nifty 0.65% in the week after the five-week rally and my portfolio gained 0.35% during the week. In the year to date, the gain in my portfolio is 15.13%. In the year 2010, the 65% of my total gain came from the 5 companies – Gujarat Gas, Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, HUL and Dabur India. Top 5 companies in terms of market value in my holding are Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, Bharti Airtel, HUL and Hero Honda.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target CMP Margin
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 737.00 398.30 85%
Hero Honda Auto 3,101.00 1,833.75 69%
HLL FMCG 475.00 295.85 61%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.00 726.65 51%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 765.95 45%

News Update

Tata Communications

Tata Communications on Thursday launched InstaCompute and InstaOffice to offer productivity enhancing services to Indian businesses. This marks the company’s expansion in to the cloud space to deliver self-service, pay-as-you-use IT application and data centre infrastructure services, accessed through the Internet. – The Hindu 2010 October 07

Tata Communications expects its international operations, that contribute 65% to the overall revenues of the company, to turn profitable in the next two years. Its president and COO, Vinod Kumar, said, “We expect to break even in the next two years. The wholesale and enterprise services are expected to grow 25% and these will accelerate our growth.” – The Financial Express, 2010 October 09

Hero Honda

Hero Honda plans to set up a fourth manufacturing unit in the Baddi-Barrotiwala-Nalagarh industrial belt of Himachal Pradesh, on the expectation that it will exhaust its installed capacity in the current fiscal year. The world’s largest two-wheeler maker by volumes has sought the Himachal Pradesh government’s help in acquiring land for the project, which includes a mother plant and ancillary units. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

Mahindra & Mahindra

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), the country’s largest utility vehicles manufacturer, is planning to launch a sub-100 cc motorcycle. The bike, which will be the first of its kind in India, will help company carve out a niche of its own in the highly competitive motorcycle market in India. – The Financial Express, 2010 October 07

Auto major Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) on Friday said it has advanced the period for redeeming the outstanding Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) worth USD 141.2 million to this year from earlier April 14, 2011. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

NTPC

Noting that a thermal power plant near human habitat and on agricultural land was not viable, a Central green panel has refused to give approval to the National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) to set up a 1320 MW coal-based project in Madhya Pradesh. The Public Sector Unit had proposed 2×660 MW coal based thermal power plant over 1000 acres of land in Jhikoli and Tumra villages in Narsinghpur district.  – The Hindi, 2010 October 08

The Centre will compensate NTPC to the tune of Rs 600 crore for cancellation of its 600 megawatt hydropower project at Loharinag-Pala in Uttarakhand, Power Minister Sushil Kumar Shinde said on Friday. NTPC has so far invested about Rs 600-crore on the project and placed orders worth Rs 2,000-crore for equipment. – The Indian Express, 2010 October 08

State-owned NTPC today said it may invest over Rs 10,000 crore to set up a 2,640 MW thermal power project at Gidarbaha in Punjab. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

BHEL

Public sector power equipment manufacturer Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (BHEL) has bagged an order from the Karnataka Power Corporation Limited (KPCL) for setting up 700 MW supercritical Unit-3 at the Bellary Thermal Power Station (TPS) in Karnataka on a turnkey basis. The company won the bid for the Rs.3,700-crore contract in an international competitive bidding process, according to a BHEL release. – The Hindu, 2010 October 08

GAIL

State-owned gas utility GAIL India Ltd today placed orders worth Rs 677 crore for laying a gas pipeline from Dabhol in Maharashtra to Bangalore.  With this, within the last 3 months GAIL has placed orders worth about Rs 2,000 crore for both line pipes and pipeline laying to enable swift project implementation, a company press statement said here. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 06

Suzlon Energy Ltd

Suzlon Energy Ltd., India’s largest maker of wind turbines, said it plans to install 800 megawatts of wind energy plants in South Africa over the next two years as the country looks to reduce its power shortage. – Bloomberg Business Week, 2010 October 06

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories is likely to see a major upside coming its way in the form of olanzapine, a drug to treat schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Currently being marketed under the brand Zyprexa by Eli Lilly, the drug is seen having sales of $1 billion. Eli Lilly has the patent for it now, but this would expire in 2011, and Reddy’s is expected to launch it in the fourth quarter next year. – DNA, 2010 October 05

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 0.35% -0.95% -0.65%
This month 1.93% 0.90% 1.22%
This Year 15.13% 15.95% 17.35%
Since 1-1-2009 135.74% 109.91% 106.27%
Since 1-1-2008 58.45% 0.21% 0.39%
Since 1-4-2007 96.85% 54.91% 59.71%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.91 Years 84
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.90 Years 149
Bharti Airtel Telecom 6 9 months 21
HUL FMCG 6 3 Months 16
Hero Honda Auto 5 4 months -1

Shares I bought this month

Graphite India 93.61
Mangalam Cement 160.87
Ess Dee Aluminium 491.95
Opto Circuits 309.05

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 212 2.4 Years
Dabur India 168 4.5 Years
Tata Tea 149 1.9 Years
Berger Paints 176 3.6 Years
Infosys 84 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -6 1 month
Graphite India -5 2 months
Opto Circuits -1 0 month
Hero Honda -1 4 months
Tata Communications -1 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews

Weekly Portfolio Review: 3 October 2010

BSE Sensex closed the week 1.87% higher and NSE Nifty 1.88% and my portfolio gained 1.58%. When the three quarters of 2010 passed, return on my portfolio stands at 14.73%. In the year 2010, the 68% of my gain came from the 5 companies – Gujarat Gas, Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, HUL and Dabur India. Top 5 companies in my holding are Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, Bharti Airtel, HUL and Hero Honda.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector Target PoR CMP Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 204.00 160.25 150%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 79.00 92.65 116%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 428.00 423.40 101%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 490.00 492.45 91%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.75 755.00 702.30 56%
Hindustan Zinc Metal 1,730.00 1,203.00 1,110.70 56%
Opto Circuits Healthcare 450.00 316.00 301.00 50%

News Update

Mahindra and Mahindra

Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (M&M), India’s largest utility vehicle maker by unit sales, on Thursday made its entry into the competitive motorcycle market by unveiling two models—the 106cc Stallio and the 300cc Mojo. The entry-level Stallio, priced at Rs. 41,199 (ex-showroom, Pune), will compete with Hero Honda Motors Ltd’s Splendor and Bajaj Auto Ltd’s Discover, among others. The Mojo, aimed at the premium luxury segment, will cost Rs. 1.75 lakh, (ex-showroom, Pune). M&M has 370 sales outlets for two-wheelers, and is expected to increase the network to 400 by October. –  Livemint.com 30 September 2010

Auto-maker Mahindra & Mahindra reported its highest ever sales in a month at 35,177 units in September, an increase of 23.71 per cent over the same period last year. Total sales of M&M utility vehicles, including Scorpio, Xylo, Bolero and Pick-Ups, stood at 16,537 units as against sales of 15,296 units in September 2009, up 8.11 per cent. Sales of the Logan sedan went up by 96.08 per cent to 1,000 units during the month, compared to 510 units in the same month a year ago. The company said sales of three-wheelers and Gio and Maxximo mini-trucks during September jumped by 40.90 per cent to 6,005 units from 4,262 units during the same month last year. – The Indian Express, 01 October 2010

Auto major Mahindra & Mahindra on Monday said it will raise prices of its all products by up to Rs 8,000 with effect from October 1 due to higher raw material costs and implementation of new emission norms. “This increase would be in the range of Rs 3,000 to Rs 8,000 depending on the model and will be effective from October 1, 2010,” Mahindra & Mahindra said in a statement. – The Times of India, 27 September 2010

Hero Honda

The country’s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda today reported a jump of 8.06 per cent in sales in September at 4,33,641 units. Besides, for the 5th consecutive time, the company has recorded more than 4 lakh dispatch sales in a single month. – Business Standard, 01 October 2010

The country’s largest two-wheeler maker, Hero Honda Motors Ltd, today launched a new version of its biggest selling motorcycle, Splendor, priced at Rs 39,950 and Rs 41,950 (ex-showroom Delhi). The new bike, Splendor Pro, has features such as a power start and a new engine and comes in two variants, the company said in a statement. – The Hindu, 27 September 2010

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories expects U.S. revenue to more than double to about $1 billion by fiscal 2013 and is planning to expand its presence in emerging markets like Russia. Dr Reddy’s, India’s No. 2 drug maker by sales, plans to consolidate in Russia by acquiring more prescription generic drugs. – Reuters, 29 September 2010

Hindustan Unilever

Hindustan Unilever (HUL) has forayed into the retail cafes segment to promote its beverages and food brands, in a significant brand extension to capitalise on the increasing trend of eating out. The FMCG major is test-marketing ‘Lipton Cafes’ and kiosks across the education, travel, corporate and leisure channels in key cities. While it is principally a beverages business, the cafés also sell other HUL products like soups. They also offer food items like pastries and cakes at locations in airports and malls. Currently, HUL has over 40 Lipton Cafes (with seating arrangement) and kiosks as pilot models in India. – The Financial Express, 29 September 2010

Suzlon Energy

Suzlon Group Company, REpower Systems, wind turbine manufacturer, said on Wednesday it signed a contract with German wind farm project developer Denker and Wulf AG, to set up, operate and maintain wind power plants with the capacity of generating 74.8 megawatts of power. The 74.8 megawatt (MW) project will be constructed by 2012. The contract includes a 15-year integrated service package, which covers project servicing and maintenance, in addition to delivery and installation of the turbines. – International Business Times, 29 September 2010

Indian wind turbine maker Suzlon Energy is in talks to buy the remaining nine percent stake in German unit REpower Systems AG, its chief financial officer said on Monday. – Reuters, 27 September 2010

Opto Circuits India Ltd

Opto Circuits India Ltd. plans to spend 7.5 billion rupees ($167 million) over three years to set up two medical equipment factories in India and Malaysia as the global incidence of diabetes and heart disease rises. People are becoming more aware of lifestyle diseases, said Vinod Ramnani, managing director at Opto Circuits, India’s largest domestic medical equipment maker. “That is the main driver” for growth, he said. – Bloomberg, 30 September 2010

Interesting Reading

M&M is not a conglomerate; it’s a federation

In an interview, Mahindra answers critics who say M&M is spreading itself too thin by entering too many areas—two- and three-wheelers, tractors, utility vehicles, cars, light commercial vehicles, trucks and even aeroplanes, and offers insights into his leadership style. http://www.livemint.com/2010/09/29205723/MampM-is-not-a-conglomerate.html?atype=tp

Mahindra & Mahindra: The Italian job

Mahindra & Mahindra is set to launch its range of motorbikes by this month-end. It had launched scooters last year, leveraging its Kinetic purchase. With incumbents well-entrenched in the market, Mahindra & Mahindra has started on an offensive even before the launch. “It had to go aggressive with a bevy of bikes because it has to break the clutter,” says PricewaterhouseCoopers Leader (automotive practice) Abdul Majeed. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/mahindramahindraitalian-job/409208/

Ess Dee set to take on Hindalco in household aluminium foils market

Ess Dee Aluminium, which acquired India Foils from Sterlite Industries in 2008, is poised to mark its maiden entry into the retail market for household aluminium foils, pitching it against the industry leader Hindalco Industries . Ess Dee’s foray into foils comes at a time when global aluminium giants, like Novelis, have decided to shut their foils unit in the UK and consolidate operations across Europe. Earlier, Alcoa too had divested Reynolds, its packaging and consumer business best known for the ‘Reynolds’ foil wrap. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/indl-goods-/-svs/metals–mining/Ess-Dee-set-to-take-on-Hindalco-in-household-aluminium-foils-market/articleshow/6550191.cms

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 1.58% 1.87% 1.88%
This month 1.58% 1.87% 1.88%
This Year 14.73% 17.06% 18.12%
Since 1-1-2009 134.91% 111.93% 107.62%
Since 1-1-2008 57.89% 1.18% 1.05%
Since 1-4-2007 96.16% 56.40% 60.76%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.91 Years 86
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 1.90 Years 131
Bharti Airtel Telecom 6 9 months 26
HUL FMCG 6 3 Months 21
Hero Honda Auto 6 4 months 0

Shares I bought this month

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 220 2.4 Years
Dabur India 174 4.5 Years
Tata Tea 131 1.9 Years
Berger Paints 175 3.6 Years
Infosys 86 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Divis Laboratories -3 1 month
KSB Pumps -3 1 month
Graphite India -7 2 months
Swaraj Engines -2 2 months
Tata Communications -8 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Weekly Portfolio Review: 26 September 2010

BSE Sensex closed the week 2.3% higher and NSE Nifty 2.27%. The month to date gain on my portfolio is 6.78% and year to date 13.29%. Gujarat Gas, Tata Tea, Infosys, HUL and Bharti Airtel are the highest gainer in my portfolio so far in this year.  I partly booked profit on Blue Star in the past week with a 47% margin.

Good buys in my watch list

Company Sector Target Current Price Margin
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.75 710.35 54%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,454.90 45%

News Update

NTPC

–          NTPC is aiming to add capacity at 13% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in order to generate 75,000 mw by March 2017 and reduce its carbon footprint by increasing the share of renewable and nuclear power in its energy mix and improving energy efficiency of coal-fired plants. The firm has projects worth 17,340 mw under implementation and has initiated tendering for execution of another 7,092 mw capacity. Projects worth 27,000 mw are under preliminary stages, NTPC has said. – The Financial Express, 27th September 2010

–          The Sri Lankan government has offered a 25-year tax waiver and customs duty concessions to NTPC’s  500 Megawatt (Mw) power project planned at Sampur near Trincomalee in the east coast of the island nation, through a gazette notification earlier this month. The Sri Lanka government said it accorded the special incentive as it was a project under the Strategic Development Projects Act of the country. NTPC and Sri Lanka will finalise the details soon. – Business Standard, September 25, 2010

–          NTPC’s Pakri-Barwadih coal mining project, for which the Union Coal Ministry has allotted coal blocks, has got forest clearance from the union Ministry of Forest and Environment for its stage two work. “With this the stage is cleared for starting Conveyor Corridor, Railway Corridor and starting coal mining production by 2012 as per the revised target fixed by the union government,” Rao, the general manager of NTPC’s coal mining project, told newsmen here on Wednesday. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Suzlon

–          The country’s largest wind turbine manufacturer Suzlon Energy on Friday said it has crossed 5,000 MW (megawatt) of cumulative installations in India, underlining the strong momentum in the country’s fast-growing wind energy market. Suzlon has cum ulatively added over 5,000 MW of wind power capacity for over 1,500 customers in India across 40 sites in eight states. – The Business Line, September 24, 2010

–          Wind power major Suzlon Energy today said it has bagged a Rs. 1,149-crore order from Kolkata-based engineering firm Techno Electric Group. The 202 MW (megawatt)order is a part of Techno Electric Group’s agreement with Suzlon for developing 500 MW of new capacity and is the single largest deal signed by an Independent Power Producer (IPP) in the wind power sector, Suzlon said in a filing to the BSE. – Livemint.com, September 21, 2010

Bharti Airtel

–          Zain Kenya, a unit of Bharti Airtel Ltd., plans to overtake market leader Safaricom Ltd. to become the east African nation’s largest mobile phone operator within three to four years, Managing Director Rene Meza said today. Over the next 18 months, the company plans to spend 28 billion shillings ($345 million) expanding Internet coverage to rural areas and rolling out a third-generation network by year- end, Meza said in an interview in Kenya’s capital, Nairobi. – Bloomberg, September 23, 2010

–          Telecom major Bharti Airtel said on Monday that it has given contracts to Ericsson India, Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) and Huawei Technologies to set up infrastructure for providing 3G services in the country.  These vendors will plan, design, deploy and maintain 3G-HSPA (third generation, high speed packet access) networks in 13 telecom circles where the company has won 3G licences, Bharti Airtel said in a statement. – The Economic Times, September 20, 2010

–          Bharti Airtel, India’s largest mobile-phone company, forecasts “rapid growth” at its satellite television unit on rising demand in rural areas for Bollywood movies and soap operas. Bharti has signed up 3.8 million customers to gain a 14% market share, said Ajai Puri, chief executive officer of the company’s digital TV services business. Industrywide, as many as 12 million people may take up satellite television this year, Mr Puri said in an interview on September17 in New Delhi. – The Economic Times, September 21, 2010

Dr Reddy’s

–          Promoters of Dr Reddy’s Laboratories have no intention of diluting their stake in the company, its managing director K Satish Reddy said today. “Let me be clear once again. We have no such intention to sell any stake or what so ever. There is no such move (dilution of stake),” Satish Reddy replied when asked on the sidelines of pharma CEOs conclave here. He said they will continue to focus on achieving three billion dollars turnover by 2013. – Business Standard, September 24, 2010

GAIL

–          State-run gas transporter GAIL India will make capital investment of around 400 billion rupees ($8.8 billion) by 2014/15, mainly to expand its pipeline network and boost petrochemicals capacity, its chairman said on Wednesday. B.C. Tripathi also said GAIL was exploring gas sector opportunities in the African market. He was speaking at the company’s annual general meeting of shareholders. – Reuters, September 22, 2010

–          State-run GAIL India on Wednesday imported its first liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo of the year at around $8.3 per million British thermal unit, about a dollar more than what Petronet LNG paid just four-days ago. GAIL, which bought the cargo from BG Group of UK at around $8.3 per mmBtu, plans to import two more cargoes from the spot market this year. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Hero Honda

–          With arch rival Bajaj Auto gaining ground in the entry level of bike segment, the country’s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda has admitted its leadership position will come under pressure. The company, which is currently a subject of speculation over a possible exit of Japanese partner Honda from the joint venture with Munjals, has been witnessing a decline in market share in motorcycles of 75cc and above but less than 125cc category. Its market share declined to 61.62 per cent in the April -August period this fiscal, from 73.85 per cent in the same period of 2009-10. – Business Standard, September 20, 2010

Interesting Reading

Brand Hero eyes life after Honda

With Hero Group’s 25-year old marriage with Japan’s Honda Motor seen drawing to a close, all eyes are on the future of Hero’s brands assiduously built up over the years. Will popular bike brands like Splendor and Passion continue to evoke the same excitement or will the absence of the Honda brand change the fortunes of the company? http://www.indianexpress.com/news/brand-hero-eyes-life-after-honda/686793/

Mahindra & Mahindra’s U.S. Plans Are in Jeopardy

Car buyers expect a degree of haggling when shopping for a new vehicle. Yet the fate of trucks built by India’s Mahindra & Mahindra may be determined in the federal courts and by arbitrators, long before the rugged-looking 4×4s even begin rolling onto dealership lots. Mahindra and its American importer, Atlanta-based Global Vehicles U.S.A., are embroiled in a dispute that could halt plans to bring the first Indian-built vehicles into the American market. http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/21/mahindra-mahindra-u-s-plans-are-in-jeopardy/

Revving two-wheeler sales to cross 12 m this fiscal

Two-wheeler sales for this fiscal are projected to be in excess of 12 million units, a jump of 20 per cent from around 10 million units in 2009-10. Sources say Hero Honda and Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India will together account for nearly 55 per cent of this number at 6.5 million units, followed by Bajaj Auto with over 3.5 million units and TVS Motor with nearly two million units. Yamaha and Suzuki, which are marginal players in comparison, will add to the overall kitty. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/09/21/stories/2010092150080300.htm

RIL puts out annual reports of 82 of 96 subsidiaries, still not unravelled many layers

It was big, but secretive. It was clever, but complex. That was Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), India’s largest private sector company, when it came to organising its books of accounts and presenting them to the public. Even as it takes a big leap to become more transparent, all those attributes — in shades of black, white and grey — remain characteristic of RIL. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/energy/oil–gas/RIL-puts-out-annual-reports-of-82-of-96-subsidiaries-still-not-unravelled-many-layers/articleshow/6617094.cms

Crompton Greaves puts wind in Europe sales

The cold, choppy waters of the North Sea are increasingly playing host to a new creature — the slender-necked, rotor-headed, offshore windmill. Sprouting along the coasts of Germany, Norway, Denmark and more recently Belgium, offshore wind energy farms are the new temples for the 21st century environmentalism sweeping across Europe. They perform the seemingly utopian transformation of a free, non-polluting resource — the wind — into the electricity needed to feed the power-hungry contemporary world. And being offshore, they avoid entanglements in the land-use disputes common in densely populated regions, while enjoying the higher and more consistent wind speeds available over the sea. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/crompton-greaves-puts-wind-in-europe-sales/408897/

Paint companies: Glossed over

Companies in the paints sector are bracing for the increased demand due to robust economic growth and rising incomes. Berger Paints, the third-largest player, plans to increase its capacity from 250,000 tonnes to 450,000 tonnes in the next two years, while the second-largest Kansai Nerolac will enhance its capacity by 50 per cent to 300,000 tonnes over the next three years. Market leader Asian Paints plans to triple its current capacity of about 600,000 tonnes in the next few years. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/paint-companies-glossed-over/408755/

Hindustan Unilever’s Bharat Darshan

The new consumers in India’s villages are ambitious and demanding just like their urban counterparts. And Hindustan Unilever is responding to the change with a distribution overhaul. Read more: http://business.in.com/article/boardroom/hindustan-unilevers-bharat-darshan/17462/1#ixzz10fSQE554

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 1.13% 2.30% 2.27%
This month 6.78% 11.54% 11.40%
This Year 13.29% 14.77% 15.71%
Since 1-1-2009 131.97% 107.79% 103.39%
Since 1-1-2008 55.91% -0.80% -1.01%
Since 1-4-2007 93.70% 53.34% 57.48%
Since Beginning 124.31% 54.93% 60.69%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.85 Years 82
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.80 Years 134
Bharti Airtel Telecom 7 8 months 27
HUL FMCG 7 3 Months 23
Hero Honda Auto 6 4 months 1

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Dr Reddy 1,363.00
KSB Pumps 562.99
Hero Honda 1709.70
Maharashtra Seamless 378.95
Hindustan Zinc 1140.86
HUL 279.15

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 214 2.3 Years
Dabur India 164 4.4 Years
Tata Tea 134 1.8 Years
Berger Paints 172 3.5 Years
Infosys 82 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Mangalam Cement -6 1 month
KSB Pumps -6 1 month
Graphite India -5 2 months
Hindustan Zinc -4 1 month
Tata Communications -4 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Weekly Portfolio Review: 11 September 2010

How do you track your investment in shares? Most of the brokers provide a portfolio tracker integrated to its online trading platform. It is enough for an average retail investor. The transaction and current market price will be automatically updated in the system. If you are so enthusiastic that you don’t mind spending some extra time in updating your transaction on another system, there are many paid and free online service to track and manage your investments. Those provide tools to analyse your investment with real time data including news related to shares in your portfolio. One such comprehensive and free portfolio tracker is provided by www.moneycontrol.com. You can also manage your portfolio with your own spreadsheet or download one here.

Indian benchmark indexes BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty surged over 3% this week. My portfolio gained 4.62% in the month to date and 11% year to date. Gujarat Gas, Suzlon Energy and Blue Star were largest contributor of gain in the month so far for me while Hero Honda was in negative. I bought Hero Honda, KSB Pumps and Maharashtra Seamless this week. This made Hero Honda and Maharashtra Seamless into my top 5 holding. Uncertainty about the parting of joint venture of Hero group and Honda still remain, though both parties have denied it. In case the Honda leaves the JV, the stock price may tumble!

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector Target CMP Margin
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.25 572.45 87%
HUL FMCG 470.00 277.85 69%
Hindustan Zinc Metal 1,730.00 1,086.90 59%
Reliance Petro 1,450.00 957.95 51%
Dr. Reddy Pharma 2,106.00 1,401.50 50%

News Update

–          Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), the country’s biggest sport utility vehicle (SUV) maker, is working on smaller fuel-efficient petrol engines to power its future growth, likely to be driven by overseas markets – Business Standard

–          Drug maker Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) has lined up investments worth around Rs 1,600 crore over the next two years for capacity expansion and building new capabilities. The company feels these investments will help it meet future growth requirements and become a $3-billion company by 2013. – Business Standard

–          Crompton Greaves Ltd said on Friday that it entered into pact with Spain-based ZIV Aplicaciones y Tecnologia, S. L (ZIV), for establishing a joint venture company in India, for the manufacture of sub-station automation systems. It is estimated that the total equity capital of the joint venture will be Rs. 10 crore, out of which the company will contribute Rs. 7 crore, for a 70 per cent shareholding. – Business Line

–          The Hero Honda stock is down six per cent over the last one week and over 15 per cent down over the last one month. The Street is worried about reports that Honda, the Japanese joint venture (JV) partner, may sell its stake in the company and exit to focus on its 100 per cent owned Indian subsidiary, Honda Motorcycles and Scooters India (HMSI). – Business Standard

–          FMCG major Hindustan Unilever (HUL), owner of well-known tea brand Brooke Bond, today launched a body to spread awareness, dispel “myths and misconceptions” existing around tea and educate people on its health benefits.

–          The number of mobile subscribers in the country crossed the 652.42 million mark in July, with the addition of 16.92 million connections, official data show. The growth in this category was led by Bharti Airtel, which added 2.6 million users to take its subscriber base to 139.2 million users. – The Times of India

–          Leading paint manufacturer Kansai Nerolac Paints (KNPL) on Tuesday said it plans to invest Rs 600 crore to enhance its production capacity by 50 per cent over the next three years.  The company has also appointed Bollywood superstar Shah Rukh Khan as brand ambassador for promoting its eco-friendly paints. – The Economic Times

–          India’s second largest paints maker Kansai Nerolac Paints is looking at an 18-20% sales growth for the 2010-11 fiscal. It had recorded a similar growth in 2009-10 when the company clocked a turnover of Rs 1,970 crore. The company, which holds a 12% market share in the decorative paints segment after Asian Paints, might go for a price hike post October. – The Financial Express

Interesting Reading

NTPC blues: Financial Express

NTPC, the other large PSE operating in the power segment, seems to be caught in a downward spiral. The company that was identified as a prize jewel and conferred the Maharatna status only recently has seen its fortunes dip sharply, mainly on account of growing competition from private sector units. Although NTPC was to commission an additional capacity of 9,220 mw by the middle of the Eleventh Plan, it was able to set up only 3,730 mw during the period.

Bharti Airtel: The making of a media conglomerate – Business Standard

Is Bharti Airtel India’s fourth-largest media company? If estimates are right, then its revenues from selling music downloads, DTH services, IPTV and digital media outsourcing were upwards of Rs 2,900 crore in March 2010. That is about 7 per cent of its Rs 41,829 crore revenues that year. This number puts India’s largest telecom operator right at the top of the media big league. The interesting part is not just the size of its media play, but the products and services that have taken Bharti Airtel to this position. Unlike other media biggies, its fortunes come not from selling newspapers or broadcasting TV channels, but from redistributing music, selling television signals and being the back-end for a host of media companies.

My Portfolio

Return (%)

Return
My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 2.49% 3.26% 3.01%
This month 4.62% 4.61% 4.40%
This Year 11.00% 7.64% 8.44%
Since 1-1-2009 127.27% 94.88% 90.61%
Since 1-1-2008 52.76% -6.96% -7.23%
Since 1-4-2007 89.78% 43.82% 47.59%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.85 Years 73
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.80 Years 139
Bharti Airtel Telecom 7 8 months 20
Hero Honda Auto 6 3 Months -6
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 2 months -3

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Dr Reddy 1,363.00
KSB Pumps 561.38
Hero Honda 1709.70
Maharashtra Seamless 378.95

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 221 2.3 Years
Dabur India 173 4.4 Years
Tata Tea 139 1.8 Years
Berger Paints 130 3.5 Years
Infosys 73 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Hero Honda -6 3 months
Graphite India -4 1 month
Hindustan Zinc -4 1 month
Mangalam Cement -3 1 month
Maharashtra Seamless -3 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Weekly Portfolio Review: 04 September 2010

162% return! Anybody will be tempted with such a recommendation to buy more and more shares of those companies. I have got a couple of recommendations that anticipate more than 100% return in 2-3 years. These recommendations are from reliable and professional equity researchers and I have good faith on them. However these reports and recommendations are based on various assumptions and estimates (not rumours and speculation of course). So things can go wrong. So I decided to have some control and limit on how much exposure I can have based on a single research product. Anyway, I have set limits to avoid concentration on a few companies or sectors. So, I would strongly suggest you to avoid over exposure to few companies or sectors. Diversify into a reasonable number of companies and sectors. Once you have built the base, you can add more of those which are already in your portfolio. You may miss out opportunities, but you can substantially reduce the risk. Some people may rubbish the idea of investing small amount in a company! Many drops make an ocean.

Past week ended with a gain of 1.31% in BSE Sensex and 1.34% NSE Nifty and 2.08% in my portfolio. My year to date gain is 8.30% while that of BSE Sensex is 4.24% and NSE Nifty 5.27%. In my last review, I mentioned it was Suzlon who stole a major chunk of my gain during the year. Afterward in the last two days, Suzlon gained 7.99%! Yes, it was on a rumour that Reliance would buy a stake in Suzlon which has been denied by Reliance later.  In the year largest contributors of gain for me remain Tata Global Beverages, Gujarat Gas and Dabur India.

Good buys in my watch list

Scipt Sector Target CMP Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 152.90 162%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 94.10 113%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 408.85 108%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 727.00 378.50 92%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.25 573.50 87%
Hero Honda Auto 3,069.00 1,736.15 77%
HLL FMCG 469.00 272.05 72%
Hindustan Zinc Metal 1,730.00 1,081.55 60%
Reliance Petro 1,450.00 925.60 57%
Dr. Reddy Pharma 2,106.00 1,387.80 52%

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 2.08% 1.31% 1.34%
This month 2.08% 1.31% 1.34%
This Year 8.30% 4.24% 5.27%
Since 1-1-2009 121.76% 88.72% 85.03%
Since 1-1-2008 49.05% -9.90% -9.95%
Since 1-4-2007 85.18% 39.27% 43.27%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 11 2.80 Years 66
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 8 1.80 Years 129
Bharti Airtel Telecom 7 8 months 17
Gujarat Gas Energy 5 2.30 Years 181
HUL FMCG 5 3 months 10

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Dr Reddy 1,363.00
KSB Pumps 547.75

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 181 28 months
Dabur India 166 53 months
Tata Tea 129 22 months
Berger Paints 125 42 months
Infosys 66 34 months

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Hero Honda – 8 4 months
Mangalam Cement – 6 1 month
Graphite India – 6 1 month
Swaraj Engines – 5 1 month
Hindustan Zinc – 5 2 weeks

Note that all those which are in loss are less than one year in my holding.

Archive of previous portfolio reviews