Tag Archives: GAIL

Weekly Portfolio Review: 11 December 2010

Concern of interest rate hike amid rise in food inflation and intensified probe into the 2G scam affected stock market negatively in the last week. Report of strong industrial production growth published on Friday helped to regain some of the loss of preceding three days. During the last week, Sensex lost 2.29% to 19,509 and Nifty 2.26% to 5,857. My portfolio lost 1.64% in the month to date.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 97.15 106%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 474.65 79%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 664.75 73%
HUL FMCG 445.00 295.45 51%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,278.00 57%
NTPC Power 293.00 192.20 52%
Hindustan Zinc Metal 1,730.00 1,150.80 50%

I will be buying Swaraj Engines, Tractors India, HUL and Bhel in the coming week. Graphite India is in my top 5 holding.

News Update

Public sector undertaking NTPC today signed a power purchase agreement with Punjab State Power Corporation Ltd (PSPCL) for 2,640 MW coal-based thermal power project at Gidderbaha for Rs 15,000 crore. The plant consists of four units of 660 MW each, which would be entirely funded by NTPC. – The Economic Times, 11 DEC 2010

Country’s largest power producer NTPC has earmarked a whopping Rs 1,50,000 crore investment for sourcing equipment for its power projects in the next fiscal, the deliveries of which will be made over five years – The Economic Times, Dec 8, 2010

The board of state-run Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (Bhel) board has approved the company’s plan of starting a non-banking financial company (NBFC) to finance power projects, said B.S. Meena, secretary, department of heavy industries (DHI). Bhel plans to apply for a licence from the Reserve Bank of India. – Livemint, 10 DEC 2010

The Munjals of Hero Group have initiated talks with lenders to secure bridge financing for the buyout of its Japanese joint venture partner’s equity in Hero Honda. – Times of India, Dec 10, 2010

B.M Munjal promoted Hero group will buyout the Japanese partner Honda from the world’s largest two wheeler producing venture, a deal for which would signed this month. After months of negotiations, Hero group is believed to have reached an agreeemnt to acquire 26 per cent stake of Honda in the 26 year old joint venure but it is not clear at what price. – Economic Times, Dec 8, 2010

The country”s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda today said it has hiked the prices of its models in the range of Rs 500- Rs 1500 to offset the rising input costs. – The Economic Times, Dec 8, 2010

The Hero Group is in the process of scouting for technology partners in Europe and South East Asia given that the company has reached an agreement with Honda Motor Co to end its partnership in producing motorcycles. The technology agreement between Hero and Honda for bikes expires in 2014.  – NDTV, Dec 7, 2010

Opto Circuits India has announced that Cardiac Science Corporation, the wholly owned subsidiary of the company and a global leader in automated external defibrillator (AED) and diagnostic cardiac monitoring devices, added two electrocardiographs (ECGs) under its Burdick brand, known for its accuracy, reliability, and ease of use. The ECGs, available only in the US, deliver built-in, bi-directional communication so customers can connect to leading EMRs. – India Infoline, Dec 10, 2010

Andhra Pradesh-based Amara Raja Batteries on Friday said that it is scouting for locations to set up a new manufacturing unit in the Northern part of the country which is likely to be operational by 2012.

Amara Raja Batteries Ltd, the technology leader and one of the largest manufacturers of lead acid batteries in India, today unveiled Amaron Volt TM, a specialized storage battery for the Indian telecom industry in the era of 3G & BWA enabled Data driven market and Mobile Internet.  Availability of assured source of Green Energy even in rural and harsh outdoor conditions is what Amaron Volt TM offers. Amaron Volt TM, a 2V high integrity series product is the latest VRLA offering from Amaron Hi Life range to meet the emerging demanding applications requirement of reliable backup power in Indian telecom market. – Business Standard, Dec 10, 2010

Electric vehicle-maker, Mahindra Reva Electric Vehicles , today launched its Revai priced at Rs 3.10-lakh (ex-showroom Pune) and is targeting tripling its sales in the next 12-18-months. – Economic Times, Dec 10, 2010

GAIL India has proposed to set up 5,500 km of gas connectivity over the next two-three years investing USD 4 billion, a senior company official said today. Economic Times, Dec 10, 2010

State-owned Gas Authority of India (Gail), the country’s largest gas transmission and marketing company, has launched 10-year bond issue to raise funds at an upper cap of 8.9% per annum. The issue, which opened on Tuesday, has got close to Rs 1,000 crore bids between 8.85 and 8.89%. According to distributors, the firm has been negotiating with arrangers for the past few days to raise funds at not more than 8.8%. However, with the cost of funds inching up, it could not get commitment from the arrangers. Interestingly, even at this rate, arrangers were not willing to underwrite the issue on their books. – The Economic Times, Dec 8, 2010

Telecom giant Bharti Airtel Friday launched its IMEWE (India-Middle East-Western Europe) cable system, an ultra high capacity fiber optic submarine cable system to deliver better connectivity requirements of Middle East and European countries to Asia transiting through India. ‘IMEWE will open a second gateway for Airtel’s customers to the European market from Asia via Mumbai,’ the company said in a statement. – Economic Times, Dec 10, 2010

Developing a technology that may change the way the world approaches cancer, Biocon Limited, in collaboration with a US-based research company, is working on creating a “therapeutic vaccine” that will help the body activate the immune system to fight cancer on its own. – DNA, Dec 7, 2010

Agri machinery maker Mahindra & Mahindra today announced a tie-up with Italy based farm equipment company Maschio-Gaspardo S.p.A for getting supply of a complete range of rotary tillage equipment. As part of this agreement between Maschio and Mahindra AppliTrac (part of Mahindra & Mahindra’s farm equipment sector) the Italian company will manufacture rotovators. This will be bearing the Mahindra brand name which will be available through both Mahindra and Swaraj dealerships. Maschio will also manufacture other kinds of rotary tillage equipment for planting, seeding, crop care and crop residue management for Mahindra AppliTrac – The Economic Times, Dec 4, 2010

Interesting Read

Pharma companies line up for clinical trials

Signalling a growing interest in new drug discovery research, some major Indian pharmaceutical firms had applied for conducting clinical trials on at least 12 new drugs in 2010. The most sought therapeutic area is cancer. The numbers are the highest ever in the history of domestic drug discovery initiatives triggered by companies such as Dr Reddy’s and Ranbaxy over a decade ago. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/pharma-companies-linefor-clinical-trials/417751/

Input, ad costs put pressure on FMCG cos

Several mid-sized fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies such as Godrej Consumer Products , Dabur India , Marico and Emami have outperformed their larger multi-national peers over several quarters during the year. Acquisitions abroad and consumers’ shift from high-priced premium products to low-priced mass-market products have helped the companies post good performances. But results of the quarter to September indicate that this stand-out performance could be difficult to sustain. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/cons-products/fmcg/Input-ad-costs-put-pressure-on-FMCG-cos/articleshow/7068767.cms

Labour shortage in the fields drives farmers to tractors

Pawan Goenka noticed something unusual last year—tractor sales were climbing even though India had its worst monsoon in more than three decades and farm output dropped 2.8% in the three months to December last fiscal. The umbilical cord that tied rainfall patterns and tractor sales seemed to have been ruptured. The president of auto and tractor maker Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd offers an interesting explanation to this puzzle: growing labour shortages in rural India are encouraging farmers to mechanize operations. “The traditional model of predicting growth in the tractor market was only linked to the monsoon and didn’t factor in labour shortages,” says Goenka. http://www.livemint.com/2010/12/06233536/Labour-shortage-in-the-fields.html?atype=tp

Cement loosens grip again

With a meaningful demand recovery expected only around mid-CY11, analysts expect the demand-supply mismatch to prevail and stocks to underperform broader markets in the near term. After a superlative performance in October, when the overall dispatches of the cement industry grew over 18 per cent, the sector has taken a beating in November. In fact, on a sequential basis, the top five cement players have reported a 19.8 per cent drop in combined dispatches, indicating that demand is yet to pick up sufficiently to support prices. While analysts expect a demand recovery by mid-CY2011, most of them currently have a neutral to bearish view on the sector, as the valuations are not cheap. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/cement-loosens-grip-again/417364/

What next for cement stocks?

The July-September quarter was the worst for the cement industry in the recent down cycle. Sales were unimpressive. Profits fell sharply. Every variable played spoil-sport. The extended monsoons dampened demand as construction activity remained poor. Despatches were further curtailed by unavailability of wagons and shortage of labour. Overhang of excess capacity reduced realizations. Correspondingly, an upsurge in raw material prices hindered profitability. The October-December quarter is expected to bring some relief. The month of October witnessed a sharp rebound in production and despatches. This is a normal trend after a dull monsoon season. Cement realizations also improved significantly. Fear of price hikes led dealers to build-up their inventory. http://www.equitymaster.com/detail.asp?date=12/7/2010&story=4&title=What-next-for-cement-stocks

BHEL adopts strategy to venture into newer areas

Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd (BHEL), the country’s biggest power equipment company, has adopted a policy of forming joint ventures and concluding technical tie-ups for venturing into newer areas of business. While parking of surplus funds in productive activities is one driver for the approach, attention on diversification and risk sharing seems to be the theme behind all such collaborations. The company has a cash surplus of Rs 10,000 crore. It has floated joint ventures (JVs) and technical tie-ups or started preliminary exercises for entry into nuclear equipment, wind energy, specialised grade steel, transmission, transportation and water treatment businesses. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/bhel-adopts-strategy-to-venture-into-newer-areas/417525/

Hero may have to play on Honda terms after break-up

Hero Group is believed to have won rights to use the Honda brand till 2014-end. As the final draft of separation between the Hero Group and Honda Motor Company gets readied, concerns are being raised on the Indian company’s ability to promote and sell its indigenous products in the long term, while managing the added burden of royalty payouts to the Japanese company. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/hero-may-have-to-playhonda-terms-after-break-up/417263/

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.35% -2.29% -2.26%
This month -1.64% -0.08% -0.10%
This Year 7.24% 11.70% 12.62%
Since 1-1-2009 119.59% 102.23% 97.95%
Since 1-1-2008 47.59% -3.45% -3.66%
Since 1-4-2007 83.36% 49.24% 53.27%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 89
Graphite India Telecom 6 2 Months 1
KSB Pumps Engineering 5 3 Months -13
Mangalam Cements Cements 5 3 Months -17
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 4 Months -5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Tata Sponge Iron 368.41
Graphite India 95.62

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 208 2.6 Years
Dabur India 143 4.6 Years
Tata Global Beverages 107 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 127 3.8 Years
Infosys 89 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -12 3 months
Honeywell Automation -14 1 month
Tata Communication -26 11 months
Mangalam Cement -17 2 months
Divi’s Laboratories -14 1 month

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 20 November 2010

After 4% decline in the previous week, Indian stock market benchmark index BSE Sensex dropped another 2.84% last week to close at 19585.44. NSE Nifty shed 2.99% in the week to close at 5890.30. The corruption scandal and global worries are cited as reasons for the decline. This week is beginning with political uncertainties in the wake of 2G scam!

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.18% and the year to date return stands at 9.66%. Shares of most of the companies in my portfolio declined in the past week with Berger Paints, Mangalam Cements, Tech Mahindra, Amara Raja Batteries and Reliance leading the losers! However Bharti Airtel and Hero Honda, which are in top 10 in my portfolio, gained more than 7% last week. The biggest news in my portfolio was the launch of new logo by Airtel.  The company crossed the significant milestone of 200 million customers.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 138.70 188%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 92.30 117%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 508.00 111%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 487.00 93%
Tata Sponge Iron Metal 700.00 366.00 91%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 750.00 392.50 91%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 471.30 80%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 173.00 74%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 676.55 70%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 669.50 64%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 680.75 63%
Opto Circuits Healthcare 450.00 277.10 62%
HUL FMCG 483.00 298.70 62%
NTPC Power 293.00 184.30 59%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,256.65 58%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,610.00 57%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 328.85 55%
Mphasis IT 841.00 561.15 50%

News Update

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories today said it has received approval from US health regulator to launch generic Zafirlukast tablets, used for treating asthma, in the American market. According to IMS health, Zafirlukast tablets had total sales of around USD 50 million in the US market for twelve months ended August 31, 2010. – Economic Times, 20 Nov 2010

India’s GSM subscribers base grew 3 per cent in October with the addition of 14.7 million subscribers with telecom giant Bharti Airtel alone signing over 3 million users. Bharti Airtel now gains a market share of 28.76 per cent, with 146.29 million subscribers — the highest in the country. Vodafone added 2.49 million subscribers in the country, a growth of 40 per cent as against 1.78 million the previous month to have a total of 118 million subscribers. – Economic Times

The world’s fifth largest telecom operator Bharti Airtel, has christened itself as ‘airtel’, launching a global campaign that would re-brand its operations across the world. On Thursday, company’s CMD Sunil Bharti Mittal lifted the veil off the new logo – an artistically written small ‘A’ above ‘Airtel’ with the letters in lower case – all in red against a white background. Subsequently, the brand name – Zain Telecom in Africa and Warid Telecom in Bangladesh would be changed to ‘airtel’. – The Times of India

GAIL (India) Ltd has struck a long-term natural gas supply deal with state-owned National Fertilisers Ltd and Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertiliser Company Ltd, which have decided to convert their manufacturing plants from naphtha to gas, a more efficient feedstock.  – The Financial Express

Looking to cash in on the boom in auto sales, domestic utility vehicle major Mahindra & Mahindra has lined up as many as seven new products in the passenger vehicle segment that will hit the roads over the next 15-18 months. The list includes an all-new premium SUV from its own stable and two from the recently-acquired Korean company Ssangyong , apart from new versions of Logan, the mid-sized passenger car. – The Economic Times

Anand Mahindra-led Mahindra Group, which entered aerospace last year, has zeroed in on yet another business opportunity.  The group has firmed up plans for getting into solar energy generation business and is looking to rope in a partner, which would bring in domain expertise as well as funding for the venture. – DNA

Crompton Greaves Ltd (CGL), a part of the $4 billion Avantha Group, has claimed that it has become the world’s first company to develop high range power product- 1200 KV Capacitive Voltage Transformer (CVT). The company has spent close to Rs.70 crore to develop this high range power product, which has been indigenously developed and manufactured at its state-of-the-art Nashik facility. – Business Standard

Opto Circuits (India) announced that Criticare Systems USA, the company`s wholly owned subsidiary has released its next-gen CO2N2O module. The module is a compact version of the proven Criticare Systems Poet series CO2 detection technology, which, using non-dispersive infrared technology, will measure inspired and expired CO2 and N2O gases. – Myiris

Interesting Read

Small commercial vehicles fly as rural demand strengthens

The small commercial vehicle (SCV) segment, which is growing at a rate of 18% annually on the back of strong demand from hinterland and boom in construction, retail and production sectors, has caught the fancy of commercial vehicle makers. Tata Motors is the dominant player with Ace while Piaggio Vehicles and Bajaj Auto are the other major companies.M&M has recently entered the segment with Maxximo, Force Motors and Ashok Leyland have lined up forays. General Motors plans to enter the segment in 2012. – http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report_smallcommercialvehiclesflyasruraldemandstrengthens_1468750

FMCG cos mull soap price hike

With increasing pressure on their margins, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies such as Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL) are considering taking a price hike on products like soaps. The cost of palm oil, a key raw material for making toilet soap, has risen by 30-35 % in one quarter. Although market leader Hindustan Unilever (HUL) has not yet passed on the cost escalation to consumers, industry analysts said it was only a matter of time before the company takes a price increase in toilet soaps. Read more: FMCG cos mull soap price hike – The Times of India http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/FMCG-cos-mull-soap-price-hike/articleshow/6958162.cms#ixzz15vv5w18b

Unilever to halve ecological impact by 2020: Harish Manwani

Hindustan Unilever has embarked on a new journey, on the path of sustainable living. As part of Sustainable Living Plan, the FMCG major has chalked out a 10-year roadmap to halve its environmental impact in the form of reducing water usage and greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The company, whose products touch the lives of 2 billion consumers around the world every day, in addition targets to source all its agricultural supplies including palm oil and tea from sustainable sources. http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/unilever-to-halve-ecological-impact-by-2020-harish-manwani_500360.html

FMCG cos see return of ‘premium’ demand

Two years after consumers began downtrading, or preferring cheaper alternatives to regular brands, the trend has reversed in the `1,30,000-crore FMCG industry. People are now uptrading, or buying premium products across personal care and foods segments, thanks to rising incomes and confidence. Companies such as Hindustan Unilever , Procter & Gamble, GlaxoSmithKline and Marico are responding to this new trend by promoting and launching a spree of premium brands across shampoos, skincare products, toothpastes, biscuits, breakfast cereals and fine cheese. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/cons-products/fmcg/FMCG-cos-see-return-of-premium-demand/articleshow/6944533.cms

GAIL to make waves via expansion, consolidation and diversification

GAIL India, the state-run gas transmission and marketing company, has charted a new corporate business plan up to 2020. The focus is on consolidation, expansion and diversification. It plans to increase turnover to Rs 1 lakh crore by 2020 from Rs 24,996 crore. It plans to consolidate presence in petrochemicals and renewable energy, allocate 15 per cent of annual capital expenditure for exploration and production (E&P), pick up equity in upstream LNG (liquefied natural gas) projects abroad, and pursue investments in shale gas projects in and outside India. Besides, GAIL India is keen to expand its city gas distribution business and undertake distributed generation projects along its pipelines. http://sify.com/finance/gail-to-make-waves-via-expansion-consolidation-and-diversification-news-equity-klpbFsaijha.html

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.18% -2.84% -2.99%
This month -2.23% -2.23% -2.12%
This Year 9.66% 12.14% 13.25%
Since 1-1-2009 124.53% 103.02% 99.06%
Since 1-1-2008 50.92% -3.08% -3.12%
Since 1-4-2007 87.49% 49.83% 54.13%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 78
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 5 2 Years 122
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 17
Hero Honda Auto 5 5Months 5
Graphite India Engineering 5 2 Months -5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Ess Dee Aluminium 484.19
Graphite India 93.19
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 480.38
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 710.47
Amara Raja Batteries 190.03
NTPC 197.65
Honeywell Automation 2,633.95
Mangalam Cement 147.00

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11
Kansai Nerolac 916.04

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 199 2.5 Years
Dabur India 145 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 122 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 114 3.7 Years
Infosys 78 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -12 2 months
Tech Mahindra -11 1 month
Tata Communication -14 10 months
Mangalam Cement -13 2 months
BHEL -10 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 13 November 2010

Indian stock market benchmark index declined sharply in the past week. BSE Sensex declined 4.04% to close at 20,157 and NSE Nifty 3.81% to close at 6,072. Some reports cited global worries of financial crisis and weak industrial output data as reasons for the crash. G20 summit in Seoul that concluded on Friday failed to take any reasonable action on the ongoing currency wars. Rate hike fears in China, payment default by Dubai group and Eurozone worries on Ireland’s worsening debt woes also added fuel to the fire.

My portfolio’s return in the past week was -2.65% and the year to date return stands at 12.11%. Shares of every company in my portfolio declined in the past week with Bharti Airtel, Berger Paints, Amara Raja Batterires, Bhel and TIL lead the decline.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Expected Margin
Mangalam Cement Cement 400.00 149.25 168%
Graphite India Engineering 200.00 93.70 113%
KSB Pumps Engineering 1,072.00 512.00 109%
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 488.00 93%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 747.00 413.45 81%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 484.40 75%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 306.05 67%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 695.55 65%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 185.25 63%
HUL FMCG 482.00 301.55 60%
Honeywell Automation Engineering 4,100.00 2,581.50 59%

News Update

Costs linked to the newly acquired African operations and stiff competition at home have pulled down Bharti Airtel‘s net profit 27 per cent to Rs 1,661 crore during the second quarter ended September 2010 compared with Rs 2,263 crore in the corresponding period last year. This was the first full quarter of the African operations. – The Hindu Business Line

Bharti Airtel is going in for a mega brand change of Airtel for which the company will spend Rs 300 crores globally, sources close to the development said. The unveiling of the brand is expected next week. The new brand is expected to be splashed all across India, Africa, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Seychelles.  – The Economic Times

Bharti Airtel on Wednesday said it may look at listing its telecom tower subsidiary – Bharti Infratel. Bharti Infratel has 31,831 towers in 11 circles. According to analysts, the IPO can help Airtel unlock value in its tower infrastructure company. Passive infrastructure generated Rs 2,116 crore revenue for Bharti during the second quarter ended September, 30. – The Economic Times

A report that Bharti Airtel is eyeing Qualcomm’s wireless broadband business in Delhi is “sheer speculation”, Bharti’s CEO for India and South Asia said on Wednesday. – Reuters

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) on Thursday said that the company’s new tractors plant in South India will commence operations by financial year 2013. The plant, expected to come up close to Chennai, will produce both Swaraj and M&M brand tractors and have a capacity of 75,000 to one lakh units per annum. – The Financial Express

NTPC will commission the first unit of Stage-II expansion project of Simhadri Super Thermal Power Station by March 2011. Two units of 500 MW each in the first phase were synchronised in 2002. Simhadri, the first shore-based power plant, is adding two more units each with 500 MW by investing around Rs.5,000 crore. – The Hindu

India’s top power producer NTPC Ltd said on Friday its board had approved investing 31.94 billion rupees for a coal mining project in the east Indian state of Jharkhand. The coal block, which was allotted to NTPC in October 2004, will start production in 2012. – Reuters

Swiss drugmaker Hoffmann-La Roche (Roche) has sued Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) a fourth time, this time for patent infringement involving its osteoporosis drug Boniva (ibandronate sodium). Boniva has been a major revenue earner for Roche and the sales are estimated to be between $850 million and $1 billion. Various patents covering the drug are due for expiry between 2019 and 2023. Boniva, a once-a-month drug, is used in treating or preventing post-menopausal osteoporosis. – DNA

Amara Raja Batteries will invest nearly Rs 130 crore by September next year to hike production capacity in a phased manner and on other capital expenditures. The company, which is aiming to become a global brand also said it is considering the possibility of setting up a manufacturing unit overseas, preferably in Southeast Asia and Africa. – The Economic Times

Opto Circuits (India) Ltd. (OCI), India’s leading developer and manufacturer of patient monitoring systems and interventional products registered 30% growth in consolidated net sales to Rs. 331.38 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by 360 basis points to 31.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing, Administrative & Marketing Expenses.  – IIFL

Divi’s Laboratories reported 15% decrease in consolidated net profit to Rs. 71.93 crore despite 13% increase in net sales to Rs. 255.31 crore for the quarter ended September 2010. Operating profit margins contracted by whopping 1330 basis points to 33.9% on the back of increase in manufacturing expenses and consumption cost. Thus, operating profit decreased by 18% to Rs. 87.84 crore. Other income increased by 67% to Rs. 5.63 crore. – IIFL

TIL Ltd [Formerly Tractors India] announced financial results for its half year & quarter ended 30th Sept, 2010. On a consolidated basis, during April – September 10-11, the company reported a total income of Rs. 6.42bn vis-à-vis Rs. 4.23bn in April-September last year, registering a growth of 52% over same period previous year. Profit Before Tax stood at Rs. 348mn vis-à-vis Rs. 249mn, showing a growth of 40%. Profit After Tax also grew to Rs. 243mn from Rs. 174mn, in the corresponding period- previous year, registering a growth of 40%. EPS stood at Rs. 24.31as on 30th September, 2010 vis-à-vis Rs. 16.65 as on 30th September, 2009. – IIFL

GAIL (India) plans a capex of Rs.40,000 crore for the next four years for undertaking various projects, including sourcing of LNG, a top company official said on Saturday. – The Hindu

Interesting Read

Bharti Airtel adds customers, not value

Bharti Airtel’s September 2010 quarter numbers raise doubts over the feasibility of adding new subscribers to the mobile network . The country’s largest telecom operator reported decent user additions during the quarter but failed to show any meaningful addition to the minutes of usage on its mobile network. … So far, Bharti’s stock has not participated in the broader stock market rally. It gained a meagre 2% in the past three months compared with the 14% gains in the benchmark Sensex. The benefits from the 3G launch expected in the next two quarters and a gradual turnaround in its African business are long term in nature. In the near term, however, the stock’s movement may be restricted given the lack of any fresh triggers.  http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/earnings/earnings-analysis-/Bharti-Airtel-adds-customers-not-value/articleshow/6904529.cms

Hero Honda market share falls closer to 50% mark

The market share of India’s largest two-wheeler manufacturer Hero Honda Motors Ltd may slip to below 50% as competition heats up and production lags demand, say analysts. Amid talk of a possible exit by its Japanese partner Honda Motor Co. from the joint venture, the company’s market share in the motorcycle segment dropped to 52.9% at the end of the September quarter from 60.4% a year earlier, according to data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers. http://www.livemint.com/2010/11/09214824/Hero-Honda-market-share-falls.html?atype=tp

My Portfolio

Return

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week -2.65% -4.04% -3.81%
This month -0.05% 0.62% 0.90%
This Year 12.11% 15.41% 16.74%
Since 1-1-2009 129.54% 108.94% 105.19%
Since 1-1-2008 54.28% -0.25% -0.13%
Since 1-4-2007 91.68% 54.20% 58.88%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 8 3 Years 80
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 2 Years 134
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 18
Hero Honda Auto 5 5 months -2
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 5 4 months 5

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Ess Dee Aluminium 490.76
Graphite India 94.72
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 482.21
Tech Mahindra 757.83
Tractors India Ltd 733.96
Amara Raja Batteries 197.71
NTPC 197.65

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 204 2.5 Years
Dabur India 143 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 134 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 136 3.7 Years
Infosys 80 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -11 2 months
Amara Raja Batteries -6 0 month
Tata Communication -10 10 months
Mangalam Cement -8 2 months
TIL -5 0 month

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 6 November 2010

Last week saw the Sensex hitting all-time high breaking the record set in January 2008.  In the past week, BSE Sensex gained 4.86%, NSE Nifty 4.90% and my portfolio 2.67%.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target Current Price Margin
Ess Dee Aluminium Packaging 942.00 495.00 90%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 745.00 424.30 76%
Swaraj Engines Auto Ancil 850.00 489.15 74%
Tractors India Ltd Construction 1,150.00 738.80 56%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,095.00 706.55 55%
Bharti Airtel Telecom 510.00 329.45 55%
Amara Raja Batteries Auto Ancil 301.60 197.30 53%
NTPC Power 293.00 196.20 49%
Opto Circuits Healthcare 450.00 303.30 48%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 750.55 48%

News Update

Biocon Ltd., India’s biggest biotechnology company, may spin off its Syngene contract research unit as early as May 2012, Chairman Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw said. Biocon plans an initial public offering of Syngene during the next 18 to 24 months and expects to hire as many as 500 people in India by December 2011, Mazumdar-Shaw said in an interview yesterday. – Bloomberg, November 04, 2010

GAIL India Ltd., the country’s biggest natural gas distributor, posted a 30 percent increase in second-quarter profit after sales climbed. Net income in the three months ended Sept. 30 rose to 9.24 billion rupees ($208 million) from 7.13 billion rupees a year earlier, the company said in a statement to the Bombay Stock Exchange today. – Bloomberg, November 03, 2010

Graphite India disclosed a steep drop in standalone net profit for the quarter ended September 2010.  During the quarter, the profit of the company declined 28.08% to Rs 491.90 million from Rs 684.00 million in the same quarter last year. – myiris.com, November 02

Auto maker Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) reported 34.38% jump in its total sales in October at 34,495 units. Its Farm Equipment Sector (FES) division reported a 29.35 per cent increase in tractor sales in October to 24,281 units. It also reported over three-fold jump in its two-wheeler sales at 21,204 units in October.

The country’s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda reported its highest ever monthly sales at 5,05,553 units in October, registering a jump of 42.75 per cent over the same month last year. The five-lakh mark is the highest ever for a two-wheeler company in India. The company launched the new Super Splendor, Hunk and Splendor Pro during the festive season.

Interesting Read

Amara Raja sees telecom batteries spurring growth

Installation of new towers by telecom companies and most of the batteries in the existing towers falling due for replacement are seen as key factors for revival of demand. Amara Raja is also eyeing the solar segment. Though details are being worked out, the official said the growth in the segment would have a positive impact in the long term. Within the automobile segment, the company is working on a capacity expansion. While the four-wheeler battery capacity would be expanded from the existing 4.2 million units to 6 million units, the two-wheeler battery capacity would go up from 2.4 million units to 5 million units. http://www.dnaindia.com/money/report_amara-raja-sees-telecom-batteries-spurring-growth_1461857

Expansion, more gas to benefit GAIL

The company has embarked upon an ambitious expansion project, which will triple its gross block in the next four years. Being the largest player in its field, it is also a natural beneficiary of the increasing gas volumes in the country. With the government planning to introduce some formula to apportion oil industry’s under-recoveries, Gail stands to benefit from a better visibility on its earnings. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-company/earnings/earnings-analysis-/Expansion-more-gas-to-benefit-GAIL/articleshow/6868288.cms

IT sector to benefit from surge in global demand

The enthused investor attention in IT stocks is on account of a recovery in global IT spends. On the back of a revival in the global IT spending, the industry biggies, including TCS, Infy and HCL, have delivered robust growth for the quarter ended September 2010. However, the country’s third largest IT outsourcing company Wipro seems to be a laggard. Another factor that fuelled the investor interest in the IT scrips was the revised recruitment targets to higher levels by the top players. Also, rupee’s appreciation against dollar towards the end of the September 2010 quarter has further pulled the margin down. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/features/investors-guide/IT-sector-to-benefit-from-surge-in-global-demand-/articleshow/6845682.cms

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 2.67% 4.86% 4.90%
This month 2.67% 4.86% 4.90%
This Year 15.15% 20.27% 21.37%
Since 1-1-2009 135.78% 117.74% 113.33%
Since 1-1-2008 58.48% 3.95% 3.83%
Since 1-4-2007 96.88% 60.69% 65.18%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 9 3 Years 85
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 6 2 Years 135
Bharti Airtel Telecom 5 10 months 13
HUL FMCG 5 4 Months 18
Hero Honda Auto 5 5 months 0

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Cost
Ess Dee Aluminium 490.76
Graphite India 94.72
Opto Circuits 297.70
Swaraj Engines 482.21
Tech Mahindra 749.71
Tractors India Ltd 733.96

Shares I sold this month

Company Average Price
Suzlon Energy 57.65
Blue Star 453.11

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 212 2.5 Years
Dabur India 152 4.5 Years
Tata Global Beverages 135 2.0 Years
Berger Paints 153 3.7 Years
Infosys 85 3.0 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -10 2 months
Divis Laboratories -3 1 month
Tata Communication -7 10 months
Mangalam Cement -5 2 months
Graphite India -2 2 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Portfolio Review: 9 October 2010

BSE Sensex dipped 0.95% and NSE Nifty 0.65% in the week after the five-week rally and my portfolio gained 0.35% during the week. In the year to date, the gain in my portfolio is 15.13%. In the year 2010, the 65% of my total gain came from the 5 companies – Gujarat Gas, Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, HUL and Dabur India. Top 5 companies in terms of market value in my holding are Infosys, Tata Global Beverages, Bharti Airtel, HUL and Hero Honda.

Good buys in my watch list

Script Sector 3 Years Target CMP Margin
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 737.00 398.30 85%
Hero Honda Auto 3,101.00 1,833.75 69%
HLL FMCG 475.00 295.85 61%
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.00 726.65 51%
Tech Mahindra IT 1,112.00 765.95 45%

News Update

Tata Communications

Tata Communications on Thursday launched InstaCompute and InstaOffice to offer productivity enhancing services to Indian businesses. This marks the company’s expansion in to the cloud space to deliver self-service, pay-as-you-use IT application and data centre infrastructure services, accessed through the Internet. – The Hindu 2010 October 07

Tata Communications expects its international operations, that contribute 65% to the overall revenues of the company, to turn profitable in the next two years. Its president and COO, Vinod Kumar, said, “We expect to break even in the next two years. The wholesale and enterprise services are expected to grow 25% and these will accelerate our growth.” – The Financial Express, 2010 October 09

Hero Honda

Hero Honda plans to set up a fourth manufacturing unit in the Baddi-Barrotiwala-Nalagarh industrial belt of Himachal Pradesh, on the expectation that it will exhaust its installed capacity in the current fiscal year. The world’s largest two-wheeler maker by volumes has sought the Himachal Pradesh government’s help in acquiring land for the project, which includes a mother plant and ancillary units. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

Mahindra & Mahindra

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), the country’s largest utility vehicles manufacturer, is planning to launch a sub-100 cc motorcycle. The bike, which will be the first of its kind in India, will help company carve out a niche of its own in the highly competitive motorcycle market in India. – The Financial Express, 2010 October 07

Auto major Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) on Friday said it has advanced the period for redeeming the outstanding Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs) worth USD 141.2 million to this year from earlier April 14, 2011. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

NTPC

Noting that a thermal power plant near human habitat and on agricultural land was not viable, a Central green panel has refused to give approval to the National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) to set up a 1320 MW coal-based project in Madhya Pradesh. The Public Sector Unit had proposed 2×660 MW coal based thermal power plant over 1000 acres of land in Jhikoli and Tumra villages in Narsinghpur district.  – The Hindi, 2010 October 08

The Centre will compensate NTPC to the tune of Rs 600 crore for cancellation of its 600 megawatt hydropower project at Loharinag-Pala in Uttarakhand, Power Minister Sushil Kumar Shinde said on Friday. NTPC has so far invested about Rs 600-crore on the project and placed orders worth Rs 2,000-crore for equipment. – The Indian Express, 2010 October 08

State-owned NTPC today said it may invest over Rs 10,000 crore to set up a 2,640 MW thermal power project at Gidarbaha in Punjab. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 08

BHEL

Public sector power equipment manufacturer Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (BHEL) has bagged an order from the Karnataka Power Corporation Limited (KPCL) for setting up 700 MW supercritical Unit-3 at the Bellary Thermal Power Station (TPS) in Karnataka on a turnkey basis. The company won the bid for the Rs.3,700-crore contract in an international competitive bidding process, according to a BHEL release. – The Hindu, 2010 October 08

GAIL

State-owned gas utility GAIL India Ltd today placed orders worth Rs 677 crore for laying a gas pipeline from Dabhol in Maharashtra to Bangalore.  With this, within the last 3 months GAIL has placed orders worth about Rs 2,000 crore for both line pipes and pipeline laying to enable swift project implementation, a company press statement said here. – The Economic Times, 2010 October 06

Suzlon Energy Ltd

Suzlon Energy Ltd., India’s largest maker of wind turbines, said it plans to install 800 megawatts of wind energy plants in South Africa over the next two years as the country looks to reduce its power shortage. – Bloomberg Business Week, 2010 October 06

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories is likely to see a major upside coming its way in the form of olanzapine, a drug to treat schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Currently being marketed under the brand Zyprexa by Eli Lilly, the drug is seen having sales of $1 billion. Eli Lilly has the patent for it now, but this would expire in 2011, and Reddy’s is expected to launch it in the fourth quarter next year. – DNA, 2010 October 05

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 0.35% -0.95% -0.65%
This month 1.93% 0.90% 1.22%
This Year 15.13% 15.95% 17.35%
Since 1-1-2009 135.74% 109.91% 106.27%
Since 1-1-2008 58.45% 0.21% 0.39%
Since 1-4-2007 96.85% 54.91% 59.71%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.91 Years 84
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.90 Years 149
Bharti Airtel Telecom 6 9 months 21
HUL FMCG 6 3 Months 16
Hero Honda Auto 5 4 months -1

Shares I bought this month

Graphite India 93.61
Mangalam Cement 160.87
Ess Dee Aluminium 491.95
Opto Circuits 309.05

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 212 2.4 Years
Dabur India 168 4.5 Years
Tata Tea 149 1.9 Years
Berger Paints 176 3.6 Years
Infosys 84 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
KSB Pumps -6 1 month
Graphite India -5 2 months
Opto Circuits -1 0 month
Hero Honda -1 4 months
Tata Communications -1 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews

Weekly Portfolio Review: 26 September 2010

BSE Sensex closed the week 2.3% higher and NSE Nifty 2.27%. The month to date gain on my portfolio is 6.78% and year to date 13.29%. Gujarat Gas, Tata Tea, Infosys, HUL and Bharti Airtel are the highest gainer in my portfolio so far in this year.  I partly booked profit on Blue Star in the past week with a 47% margin.

Good buys in my watch list

Company Sector Target Current Price Margin
Divis Laboratories Pharma 1,094.75 710.35 54%
BHEL Engineering 3,567.00 2,454.90 45%

News Update

NTPC

–          NTPC is aiming to add capacity at 13% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) in order to generate 75,000 mw by March 2017 and reduce its carbon footprint by increasing the share of renewable and nuclear power in its energy mix and improving energy efficiency of coal-fired plants. The firm has projects worth 17,340 mw under implementation and has initiated tendering for execution of another 7,092 mw capacity. Projects worth 27,000 mw are under preliminary stages, NTPC has said. – The Financial Express, 27th September 2010

–          The Sri Lankan government has offered a 25-year tax waiver and customs duty concessions to NTPC’s  500 Megawatt (Mw) power project planned at Sampur near Trincomalee in the east coast of the island nation, through a gazette notification earlier this month. The Sri Lanka government said it accorded the special incentive as it was a project under the Strategic Development Projects Act of the country. NTPC and Sri Lanka will finalise the details soon. – Business Standard, September 25, 2010

–          NTPC’s Pakri-Barwadih coal mining project, for which the Union Coal Ministry has allotted coal blocks, has got forest clearance from the union Ministry of Forest and Environment for its stage two work. “With this the stage is cleared for starting Conveyor Corridor, Railway Corridor and starting coal mining production by 2012 as per the revised target fixed by the union government,” Rao, the general manager of NTPC’s coal mining project, told newsmen here on Wednesday. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Suzlon

–          The country’s largest wind turbine manufacturer Suzlon Energy on Friday said it has crossed 5,000 MW (megawatt) of cumulative installations in India, underlining the strong momentum in the country’s fast-growing wind energy market. Suzlon has cum ulatively added over 5,000 MW of wind power capacity for over 1,500 customers in India across 40 sites in eight states. – The Business Line, September 24, 2010

–          Wind power major Suzlon Energy today said it has bagged a Rs. 1,149-crore order from Kolkata-based engineering firm Techno Electric Group. The 202 MW (megawatt)order is a part of Techno Electric Group’s agreement with Suzlon for developing 500 MW of new capacity and is the single largest deal signed by an Independent Power Producer (IPP) in the wind power sector, Suzlon said in a filing to the BSE. – Livemint.com, September 21, 2010

Bharti Airtel

–          Zain Kenya, a unit of Bharti Airtel Ltd., plans to overtake market leader Safaricom Ltd. to become the east African nation’s largest mobile phone operator within three to four years, Managing Director Rene Meza said today. Over the next 18 months, the company plans to spend 28 billion shillings ($345 million) expanding Internet coverage to rural areas and rolling out a third-generation network by year- end, Meza said in an interview in Kenya’s capital, Nairobi. – Bloomberg, September 23, 2010

–          Telecom major Bharti Airtel said on Monday that it has given contracts to Ericsson India, Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) and Huawei Technologies to set up infrastructure for providing 3G services in the country.  These vendors will plan, design, deploy and maintain 3G-HSPA (third generation, high speed packet access) networks in 13 telecom circles where the company has won 3G licences, Bharti Airtel said in a statement. – The Economic Times, September 20, 2010

–          Bharti Airtel, India’s largest mobile-phone company, forecasts “rapid growth” at its satellite television unit on rising demand in rural areas for Bollywood movies and soap operas. Bharti has signed up 3.8 million customers to gain a 14% market share, said Ajai Puri, chief executive officer of the company’s digital TV services business. Industrywide, as many as 12 million people may take up satellite television this year, Mr Puri said in an interview on September17 in New Delhi. – The Economic Times, September 21, 2010

Dr Reddy’s

–          Promoters of Dr Reddy’s Laboratories have no intention of diluting their stake in the company, its managing director K Satish Reddy said today. “Let me be clear once again. We have no such intention to sell any stake or what so ever. There is no such move (dilution of stake),” Satish Reddy replied when asked on the sidelines of pharma CEOs conclave here. He said they will continue to focus on achieving three billion dollars turnover by 2013. – Business Standard, September 24, 2010

GAIL

–          State-run gas transporter GAIL India will make capital investment of around 400 billion rupees ($8.8 billion) by 2014/15, mainly to expand its pipeline network and boost petrochemicals capacity, its chairman said on Wednesday. B.C. Tripathi also said GAIL was exploring gas sector opportunities in the African market. He was speaking at the company’s annual general meeting of shareholders. – Reuters, September 22, 2010

–          State-run GAIL India on Wednesday imported its first liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargo of the year at around $8.3 per million British thermal unit, about a dollar more than what Petronet LNG paid just four-days ago. GAIL, which bought the cargo from BG Group of UK at around $8.3 per mmBtu, plans to import two more cargoes from the spot market this year. – The Economic Times, September 22, 2010

Hero Honda

–          With arch rival Bajaj Auto gaining ground in the entry level of bike segment, the country’s largest two-wheeler maker Hero Honda has admitted its leadership position will come under pressure. The company, which is currently a subject of speculation over a possible exit of Japanese partner Honda from the joint venture with Munjals, has been witnessing a decline in market share in motorcycles of 75cc and above but less than 125cc category. Its market share declined to 61.62 per cent in the April -August period this fiscal, from 73.85 per cent in the same period of 2009-10. – Business Standard, September 20, 2010

Interesting Reading

Brand Hero eyes life after Honda

With Hero Group’s 25-year old marriage with Japan’s Honda Motor seen drawing to a close, all eyes are on the future of Hero’s brands assiduously built up over the years. Will popular bike brands like Splendor and Passion continue to evoke the same excitement or will the absence of the Honda brand change the fortunes of the company? http://www.indianexpress.com/news/brand-hero-eyes-life-after-honda/686793/

Mahindra & Mahindra’s U.S. Plans Are in Jeopardy

Car buyers expect a degree of haggling when shopping for a new vehicle. Yet the fate of trucks built by India’s Mahindra & Mahindra may be determined in the federal courts and by arbitrators, long before the rugged-looking 4×4s even begin rolling onto dealership lots. Mahindra and its American importer, Atlanta-based Global Vehicles U.S.A., are embroiled in a dispute that could halt plans to bring the first Indian-built vehicles into the American market. http://wheels.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/21/mahindra-mahindra-u-s-plans-are-in-jeopardy/

Revving two-wheeler sales to cross 12 m this fiscal

Two-wheeler sales for this fiscal are projected to be in excess of 12 million units, a jump of 20 per cent from around 10 million units in 2009-10. Sources say Hero Honda and Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India will together account for nearly 55 per cent of this number at 6.5 million units, followed by Bajaj Auto with over 3.5 million units and TVS Motor with nearly two million units. Yamaha and Suzuki, which are marginal players in comparison, will add to the overall kitty. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/09/21/stories/2010092150080300.htm

RIL puts out annual reports of 82 of 96 subsidiaries, still not unravelled many layers

It was big, but secretive. It was clever, but complex. That was Reliance Industries Limited (RIL), India’s largest private sector company, when it came to organising its books of accounts and presenting them to the public. Even as it takes a big leap to become more transparent, all those attributes — in shades of black, white and grey — remain characteristic of RIL. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/news-by-industry/energy/oil–gas/RIL-puts-out-annual-reports-of-82-of-96-subsidiaries-still-not-unravelled-many-layers/articleshow/6617094.cms

Crompton Greaves puts wind in Europe sales

The cold, choppy waters of the North Sea are increasingly playing host to a new creature — the slender-necked, rotor-headed, offshore windmill. Sprouting along the coasts of Germany, Norway, Denmark and more recently Belgium, offshore wind energy farms are the new temples for the 21st century environmentalism sweeping across Europe. They perform the seemingly utopian transformation of a free, non-polluting resource — the wind — into the electricity needed to feed the power-hungry contemporary world. And being offshore, they avoid entanglements in the land-use disputes common in densely populated regions, while enjoying the higher and more consistent wind speeds available over the sea. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/crompton-greaves-puts-wind-in-europe-sales/408897/

Paint companies: Glossed over

Companies in the paints sector are bracing for the increased demand due to robust economic growth and rising incomes. Berger Paints, the third-largest player, plans to increase its capacity from 250,000 tonnes to 450,000 tonnes in the next two years, while the second-largest Kansai Nerolac will enhance its capacity by 50 per cent to 300,000 tonnes over the next three years. Market leader Asian Paints plans to triple its current capacity of about 600,000 tonnes in the next few years. http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/paint-companies-glossed-over/408755/

Hindustan Unilever’s Bharat Darshan

The new consumers in India’s villages are ambitious and demanding just like their urban counterparts. And Hindustan Unilever is responding to the change with a distribution overhaul. Read more: http://business.in.com/article/boardroom/hindustan-unilevers-bharat-darshan/17462/1#ixzz10fSQE554

My Portfolio

Return (%)

My Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This Week 1.13% 2.30% 2.27%
This month 6.78% 11.54% 11.40%
This Year 13.29% 14.77% 15.71%
Since 1-1-2009 131.97% 107.79% 103.39%
Since 1-1-2008 55.91% -0.80% -1.01%
Since 1-4-2007 93.70% 53.34% 57.48%
Since Beginning 124.31% 54.93% 60.69%

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 10 2.85 Years 82
Tata Global Beverages FMCG 7 1.80 Years 134
Bharti Airtel Telecom 7 8 months 27
HUL FMCG 7 3 Months 23
Hero Honda Auto 6 4 months 1

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Dr Reddy 1,363.00
KSB Pumps 562.99
Hero Honda 1709.70
Maharashtra Seamless 378.95
Hindustan Zinc 1140.86
HUL 279.15

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 214 2.3 Years
Dabur India 164 4.4 Years
Tata Tea 134 1.8 Years
Berger Paints 172 3.5 Years
Infosys 82 2.9 Years

Top 5 most loss (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Mangalam Cement -6 1 month
KSB Pumps -6 1 month
Graphite India -5 2 months
Hindustan Zinc -4 1 month
Tata Communications -4 9 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews


Weekly Portfolio Review –17 July 2010

As at the end of the past week, return on the Drops’ suggested portfolio stands at 6.87% with an average investment period of 1.68 months. BSE Sensex gained 0.69% and NSE Nifty 0.77% in the past week while my portfolio returned 0.04%. My year to date return is 7.94% while Sensex gained 2.81%. In the month to date top gainers in my Portfolio are Bharti Airtel (13.47%), Tata Communications (10.60%), Blue Star (9.23%) and NIIT Tech (6.44%) and top losers were Biocon (-3.33%) and Hero Honda (3.13%).

Good buys in my watch list

Company Sector Current price 3 years Target Expected Return
Bharti Airtel Telecom 298.70 531.00 78%
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 402.15 707.00 77%
Hindustan Unilever FMCG 266.05 456.00 73%
GAIL Energy 441.75 684.00 55%
Mahindra & Mahindra Auto 604.10 925.00 53%

GAIL and Mahindra & Mahindra are new entrants in the good buys list.

–  Bharti Airtel, the number one GSM operator, added three million new users in June, taking its total subscriber base to 136.6 million. Bharti is the leader with a 29.92 per cent market share. Indian GSM telecom operators added 12.29 million new subscribers in the month of June, taking the all-India GSM cellular subscriber base to 456.58 million, according to Cellular Operators’ Association COAI report released last week.

– Bharti Airtel announced that the company would do a brand launch in Africa in October and that the capex plan for the first year of operation, ending March 2011, is around $800 million. It will partner with existing players in the continent to share infrastructure to reduce operational costs. Bharti Airtel’s annual debt servicing cost for its African deal has been pegged at $200 million. Bharti Airtel has won a key concession from the government as it prepares to invest Sh12 billion on its network in Kenya, including the construction of its headquarters in Nairobi and the establishment of a call centre that will employ 1,000 people.

– As per a survey by telecom industry journal Voice & Data, the telecom services industry posted a meagre growth rate of 2.5 per cent in revenues at Rs 1,59,510 crore in 2009-10 due to intense domestic tariff war. The industry had seen a robust growth of 20 per cent in revenues at Rs 1,55,683 crore in 2008-09. Despite a near 50 per cent subscriber growth, the mobile services segment grew a meagre 3.6 per cent to Rs 96,860 crore from Rs 93,522 crore. Tariff cuts and introduction of 1 paisa per second calling introduced by new players forced leading players to cut rates.

– A Business Line report last week shows that HUL was planning to intensify its rural push for brands. Speaking to Business Line, Mr Sudhanshu Vats, Vice President, Home Care and Skin Cleansing, HUL, said, “Deep down in India, the frequency of usage of FMCG categories is low. We want to drive consumption reaching out to the top villages in the top states. Our target is to reach out to 50,000-60,000 villages with experiential and educational campaigns for our brands.”

– With a Buy recommendation, The Hindu Business Line reported that GAIL plans to almost double its pipeline network and capacity over the next four-to-five years. The company’s massive expansion plans in the gas market and regulatory upsides are reasons to invest in the stock. They count the company’s strong positioning, good performance and massive expansion plans in the burgeoning Indian gas market, where demand growth outpaces rapid growth in supplies as reasons for upside.

– The Hindu Business Line finds the Mahindra and Mahindra as a good buy due to its presence in almost all segments, promising launches and initiatives on the farm equipment front. With strategically-priced launches like the Xylo, M&M had a dream run in FY-10.

Drops Model Portfolio

If you have been investing following my Good Buy List as above, now you would have accumulated shares of 12 companies. As of end of the past week, the average investment period is 0.14 year and gave a return of 6.87%. Download the spreadsheet for the detailed study. Last week there were 5 companies in good buy list. Since Top Ten holding is 88% of the total value and all except NTPC are already in the top ten holding, only NTPC was taken as bought in the last week.

The top 5 companies:

Company No. of Shares Market Value Return % Weight Rank
Bharti Airtel 36 10,753.20 6.92% 12% 1
Crompton Greave 39 10,590.45 5.35% 12% 2
NIIT Tech 58 10,544.40 6.84% 12% 3
NTPC 50 9,912.50 -0.91% 12% 4
Geometric 80 6,500.00 31.34% 8% 5

Top gainers to date:

Company No. of Shares Market Value Return % Weight in Portfolio Rank in Portfolio
Geometric 80 6,500.00 31.34% 8% 5
HUL 21 5,587.05 13.36% 6% 8
Cadila Health 9 5,706.90 13.22% 7% 7
Bharti Airtel 36 10,753.20 6.92% 12% 1
NIIT Tech 58 10,544.40 6.84% 12% 3

Top losers!

Company No. of Shares Market Value Return % Weight Rank
NTPC 50 9,912.50 -0.91% 12% 4

Valappil’s Portfolio

Return

Period Valappil’s Portfolio BSE Sensex NSE Nifty
This month 2.13% 1.45% 1.54%
This Year 7.94% 2.81% 3.71%
Since 1-1-2009 121.02 86.13 82.29
Since 1-1-2008 48.55 -11.14 -11.28
Since 1-4-2007 84.56 37.36 41.14

Top 5 holding in my equity portfolio

Company Sector % of Total Value Average Holding Period Absolute Return %
Infosys IT 15 2.9 Years 66
Tata Tea FMCG 10 1.66 Years 125
Bharti Airtel Telecom 9 6 months 3
Dabur India FMCG 6 3.33 Years 168
Maharashtra Seamless Metal 6 0.5 month 1

Shares I bought this month

Company Average Price
Maharashtra Seamless 388.88
NIIT Tech 176.30
NTPC 198.28

Top 5 most gain (absolute)

Company Return % Average Holding Period
Gujarat Gas 168 26 months
Dabur India 137 40 months
Tata Tea 125 20 months
Berger Paints 90 41 months
Infosys 66 34 months

Archive of previous portfolio reviews